Politics43 days left
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$1.93M
20,645 trades
Smart Whales
565
of 3,601 traders · 17 on both sides
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $4.77M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
306 YESvs276 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 143 YES vs 87 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$26.5K+18 new NO$7.1K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$44.3K of $185.8K is held equally on both sides by 13 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $182 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $81.4K·NO $60.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$130.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$18.7K(-14.3%)
Whales
306
L
lomneivan🥇
Entry 41¢·43,739.9 shares
Invested
$17.9K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-1099
$-1099INV $17.9K · WR 71.4%
W
wenyu888888🥈
Entry 66¢·26,060 shares
Invested
$17.3K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-7247
$-7247INV $17.3K · WR 55.0%
O
Old-Outfielder🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·26,000 shares·also $13.0K on NO
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-2990
$-2990INV $13.0K · WR 77.1%
C
carkiller530
Entry 62¢·15,977.3 shares
Invested
$9.8K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-3696
$-3696INV $9.8K · WR 85.0%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-1725
$-1725INV $7.5K · WR 83.1%
S
smoovster
Entry 56¢·12,780.1 shares
Invested
$7.1K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2206
$-2206INV $7.1K · WR 56.8%
1
11122
Entry 48¢·7,314.7 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-693
$-693INV $3.5K · WR 60.6%
G
gopfan2
Entry 49¢·5,532.8 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-594
$-594INV $2.7K · WR 60.0%
A
aenews2hedged
Entry 30¢·7,952 shares·also $7.1K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$683
+$683INV $2.4K · WR 74.4%
Q
QbertRules
Entry 48¢·4,560 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-428
$-428INV $2.2K · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 306
NO Team
Total Invested
$166.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$31.9K(+19.2%)
Whales
276
R
risk-manager🥇
Entry 50¢·29,526.5 shares
Invested
$14.7K
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$3411
+$3411INV $14.7K · WR 73.7%
O
Old-Outfielder🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·26,000 shares·also $13.0K on YES
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$2990
+$2990INV $13.0K · WR 77.1%
M
MRF🥉
Entry 52¢·24,714 shares
Invested
$12.7K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$2461
+$2461INV $12.7K · WR 67.0%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 51¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$10.3K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2000
+$2000INV $10.3K · WR 58.5%
R
RememberAmalek
Entry 46¢·20,576.4 shares
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$3160
+$3160INV $9.5K · WR 65.1%
L
Loyalty-Crash
Entry 47¢·16,114.9 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$2383
+$2383INV $7.5K · WR 62.9%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$1725
+$1725INV $7.5K · WR 83.1%
C
cryptoh01der7
Entry 57¢·12,895.3 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$550
+$550INV $7.4K · WR 59.5%
A
aenews2hedged
Entry 65¢·10,931.8 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$7.1K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $7.1K · WR 74.4%
N
ndb1
Entry 50¢·12,581.1 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$1428
+$1428INV $6.3K · WR 74.5%
Showing top 10 of 276
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)