carkiller530 · Polymarket wallet 0xef2f…8b9c

Wallet snapshot

carkiller530 has made 507 trades on Polymarket across 42 markets, $171K in volume. Most of it is in politics (98%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 85%, lifetime P&L -$16K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $252 · 49¢ → 9¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $228 · 10¢ → 15¢
• Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $67 · 60¢ → 81¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · $0 · 61¢ → 0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $0 · 87¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · +$1,986 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes · +$37 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$82 · Nov 4, 2026
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · +$1,433 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes · +$329 · May 27, 2026
• Will Trump say "Mexico" during the State of the Union address?Yes · +$4 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.