Politics13 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$11.43M
96,895 trades
Smart Whales
1698
of 14,274 traders · 11 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election
19 MARKETS · $151.93M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
978 YESvs731 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 686 YES vs 177 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 68%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$15.9K+23 new NO$8.4K
$3.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$40 of $825.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $11.7K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $718.5K·NO $95.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$761.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$168.4K(-22.1%)
Whales
978
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 60¢·574,826.1 shares
Invested
$346.6K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-108118
$-108118INV $346.6K · WR 62.9%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 52¢·309,018.6 shares
Invested
$159.2K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-30960
$-30960INV $159.2K · WR 56.0%
A
abed1🥉hedged
Entry 52¢·40,742.3 shares·also $5.2K on NO
Invested
$21.0K
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-4085
$-4085INV $21.0K · WR 82.1%
M
MisTKy
Entry 59¢·33,774.4 shares
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-5990
$-5990INV $20.0K · WR 72.0%
D
diadjaid
Entry 54¢·33,500 shares
Invested
$18.0K
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-4137
$-4137INV $18.0K · WR 55.8%
O
Outsid3rTrading
Entry 57¢·24,999.7 shares
Invested
$14.3K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-3893
$-3893INV $14.3K · WR 55.4%
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Entry 64¢·15,003.5 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-3435
$-3435INV $9.7K · WR 70.3%
B
breno88
Entry 55¢·13,452.5 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-1882
$-1882INV $7.5K · WR 73.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 55¢·12,631 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-1700
$-1700INV $6.9K · WR 58.1%
N
NIKEa
Entry 43¢·15,000 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-234
$-234INV $6.5K · WR 71.8%
Showing top 10 of 978
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.00M
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$119.4K(+11.9%)
Whales
731
B
Binotto🥇
Entry 50¢·287,711.3 shares
Invested
$145.2K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$23095
+$23095INV $145.2K · WR 65.2%
B
betterfasterstronger🥈
Entry 62¢·194,236 shares
Invested
$121.2K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-7573
$-7573INV $121.2K · WR 89.2%
R
rainbowlilies🥉
Entry 43¢·229,352 shares
Invested
$99.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$34906
+$34906INV $99.3K · WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 50¢·141,466.3 shares
Invested
$70.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12071
+$12071INV $70.7K · WR 85.9%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 50¢·122,195 shares
Invested
$61.3K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$10196
+$10196INV $61.3K · WR 66.9%
6
65765757
Entry 57¢·81,002.3 shares
Invested
$46.0K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1398
+$1398INV $46.0K · WR 79.1%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 41¢·93,861.9 shares
Invested
$38.2K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$16682
+$16682INV $38.2K · WR 89.6%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 54¢·33,829.1 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1512
+$1512INV $18.3K · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 48¢·37,721.2 shares
Invested
$18.2K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$3889
+$3889INV $18.2K · WR 79.3%
W
winnerSpecter
Entry 60¢·30,410.3 shares
Invested
$18.2K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-377
$-377INV $18.2K · WR 91.2%
Showing top 10 of 731
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