Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$22.24M
119,846 trades
Smart Whales
2280
of 17,358 traders · 19 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election
2 MARKETS · $41.80M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1234 YESvs1065 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 793 YES vs 255 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+88 new YES$13.2K+46 new NO$14.0K
$5.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2.4K of $1.43M is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $765.2K·NO $658.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$897.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$442.6K(-49.3%)
Whales
1,234
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 60¢·574,826.1 shares
Invested
$346.6K
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-274817
$-274817INV $346.6K · WR 62.7%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 48¢·218,166.9 shares
Invested
$104.8K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-77547
$-77547INV $104.8K · WR 56.0%
F
Flipadelphia🥉
Entry 12¢·268,818.8 shares
Invested
$33.4K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $33.4K · WR 56.8%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 13¢·241,060.6 shares
Invested
$31.4K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1292
$-1292INV $31.4K · WR 55.4%
D
d5BDa0A44B659581
Entry 17¢·181,494.3 shares
Invested
$31.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-8640
$-8640INV $31.3K · WR 85.7%
D
defillama7◆Proven
Entry 15¢·142,240.7 shares
Invested
$21.7K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-3895
$-3895INV $21.7K · WR 68.5%
9
9797979797997
Entry 15¢·135,399.9 shares
Invested
$19.8K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-2875
$-2875INV $19.8K · WR 58.3%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 14¢·123,186.6 shares
Invested
$17.8K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-2441
$-2441INV $17.8K · WR 70.0%
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Entry 15¢·75,942.2 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-2122
$-2122INV $11.6K · WR 69.7%
J
jpceia
Entry 14¢·76,900 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-1116
$-1116INV $10.7K · WR 100.0%
Showing top 10 of 1,234
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.22M
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$599.8K(+27.0%)
Whales
1,065
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 79¢·382,318 shares
Invested
$302.2K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$32276
+$32276INV $302.2K · WR 77.3%
6
65765757🥈
Entry 71¢·227,007.6 shares
Invested
$160.7K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$37911
+$37911INV $160.7K · WR 78.2%
B
Binotto🥉
Entry 50¢·287,711.3 shares
Invested
$145.2K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$106531
+$106531INV $145.2K · WR 66.5%
B
betterfasterstronger
Entry 62¢·194,236 shares
Invested
$121.2K
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$48755
+$48755INV $121.2K · WR 89.7%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 84¢·134,766.4 shares
Invested
$112.5K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$5379
+$5379INV $112.5K · WR 74.6%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 83¢·132,926.9 shares
Invested
$110.0K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$6287
+$6287INV $110.0K · WR 82.7%
K
kneelbeforetheking
Entry 44¢·247,413.6 shares
Invested
$110.0K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$106519
+$106519INV $110.0K · WR 92.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 42¢·154,956.2 shares
Invested
$65.3K
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$70322
+$70322INV $65.3K · WR 84.8%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 50¢·122,195 shares
Invested
$61.3K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$45633
+$45633INV $61.3K · WR 67.1%
L
LulaVaiPerder
Entry 71¢·83,178 shares
Invested
$59.0K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$13810
+$13810INV $59.0K · WR 75.2%
Showing top 10 of 1,065
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