Politics13 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$11.09M
106,753 trades
Smart Whales
1107
of 10,568 traders · 7 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election
19 MARKETS · $151.92M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
589 YESvs525 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 388 YES vs 203 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+68 new YES$54.7K+38 new NO$6.7K
$3.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $484.0K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $340 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $458.5K·NO $25.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$515.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$269.3K(+52.3%)
Whales
589
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 47¢·150,947.9 shares
Invested
$71.7K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$15398
+$15398INV $71.7K · WR 76.9%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥈
Entry 48¢·119,341.2 shares
Invested
$56.8K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$12091
+$12091INV $56.8K · WR 76.9%
6
65765757🥉
Entry 45¢·107,710.2 shares
Invested
$48.8K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$13298
+$13298INV $48.8K · WR 79.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 37¢·120,510.6 shares
Invested
$45.2K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$24374
+$24374INV $45.2K · WR 56.0%
P
Plain-Apparatus-Acre
Entry 57¢·50,397.5 shares
Invested
$28.9K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $28.9K · WR 67.5%
L
Lula.desistiu
Entry 29¢·76,729.3 shares
Invested
$22.4K
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$21862
+$21862INV $22.4K · WR 59.0%
G
gopfan2
Entry 26¢·79,081.6 shares
Invested
$20.5K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$25151
+$25151INV $20.5K · WR 60.0%
S
Scalpoor
Entry 32¢·61,121.2 shares
Invested
$19.3K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$15994
+$15994INV $19.3K · WR 71.9%
S
sorcerer.00
Entry 53¢·25,000.1 shares
Invested
$13.3K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$1154
+$1154INV $13.3K · WR 77.6%
A
abed1
Entry 36¢·36,041 shares
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$7810
+$7810INV $13.0K · WR 82.1%
Showing top 10 of 589
NO Team
Total Invested
$516.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$56.2K(+10.9%)
Whales
525
B
Binotto🥇
Entry 36¢·286,613.3 shares
Invested
$104.4K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$16652
+$16652INV $104.4K · WR 65.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 49¢·122,451.4 shares
Invested
$59.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-8016
$-8016INV $59.8K · WR 85.9%
B
betterfasterstronger🥉
Entry 32¢·141,126.3 shares
Invested
$45.1K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$14521
+$14521INV $45.1K · WR 89.2%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 30¢·93,862.1 shares
Invested
$28.3K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$11344
+$11344INV $28.3K · WR 89.6%
P
petanimal
Entry 25¢·44,150.1 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$7752
+$7752INV $10.9K · WR 80.7%
D
disputequant
Entry 54¢·7,875.1 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-904
$-904INV $4.2K · WR 60.3%
D
diadjaid
Entry 65¢·5,362.4 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-1198
$-1198INV $3.5K · WR 55.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 9¢·30,106.3 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$9878
+$9878INV $2.8K · WR 85.8%
N
NIKEa
Entry 47¢·5,000.5 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-232
$-232INV $2.3K · WR 71.8%
G
ghorrock
Entry 71¢·1,940.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-553
$-553INV $1.4K · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 525
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)