Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES Price
86¢
86% implied
NO Price
14¢
14% implied
Volume
$19.56M
138,504 trades
Smart Whales
1864
of 14,635 traders · 13 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

1147 YESvs730 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 824 YES vs 251 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+197 new YES$251.9K+54 new NO$13.1K
$8.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
73 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $2.25M is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $512 is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $2.17M·NO $73.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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