90 days left
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$366.5K
6,858 trades
Smart Whales
144
of 960 traders · 1 on both sides
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $1.22M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←
44¢−10¢$366.5K50/95Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←−10¢44¢
$366.5K50/95
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+40¢$83.7K26/39Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+40¢0¢
$83.7K26/39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
53¢−14¢$585.4K75/119Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026−14¢53¢
$585.4K75/119
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+37¢$185.2K32/54Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+37¢0¢
$185.2K32/54
Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+100¢$015/0Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+100¢0¢
$015/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
52 YESvs93 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$1.1K+18 new NO$2.0K
$111 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $28.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $27.8K·NO $405YES Team
Total Invested
$28.6K
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-13.8%)
Whales
52
S
schizohedgehog🥇
Entry 59¢·30,973.1 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-4478
$-4478INV $18.3K · WR 83.6%
E
eCash◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·8,367.5 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$249
+$249INV $3.5K · WR 66.7%
B
boring999🥉
Entry 56¢·3,653.1 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $2.0K · WR 58.0%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 49¢·1,780.6 shares
Invested
$877
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $877 · WR 74.4%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 51¢·1,625.2 shares
Invested
$829
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $829 · WR 66.1%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 52¢·1,110.5 shares
Invested
$580
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $580 · WR 61.2%
O
on-cinema
Entry 25¢·2,135.5 shares
Invested
$533
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$417
+$417INV $533 · WR 67.7%
G
Gladius7
Entry 59¢·745.3 shares
Invested
$439
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $439 · WR 58.0%
C
crystalfalls◆Proven
Entry 40¢·554.7 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $220 · WR 65.2%
C
chaosj88◆Proven
Entry 34¢·517.5 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $175 · WR 85.5%
Showing top 10 of 52
NO Team
Total Invested
$25.7K
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+5.0%)
Whales
93
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 45¢·8,113 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$894
+$894INV $3.6K · WR 86.1%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 49¢·6,713.9 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$449
+$449INV $3.3K · WR 85.5%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 59¢·4,122.8 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $2.4K · WR 88.0%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 46¢·4,787.5 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$468
+$468INV $2.2K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 53¢·2,629.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $1.4K · WR 86.2%
A
Awestin.eth
Entry 120¢·852.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-547
$-547INV $1.0K · WR 55.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 58¢·1,385.5 shares
Invested
$806
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $806 · WR 88.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 56¢·1,124.1 shares
Invested
$627
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $627 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 41¢·770.6 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $316 · WR 88.9%
G
GUHHH
Entry 56¢·300 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $169 · WR 77.5%
Showing top 10 of 93
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 7ms (cached)