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104 days left

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
45Ā¢
45% implied
NO Price
55Ā¢
55% implied
Volume
$210.3K
5,116 trades
Smart Whales
128
of 782 traders

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

7 MARKETS Ā· $828.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs77 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars Ā· 36 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%Ā· net of hedges
+6 new YES$58+1 new NO$41
$14 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer ā€” left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā€” all $13.1K is directional: YES $12.6KĀ·NO $434
YES Team
Total Invested
$13.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$174(+1.3%)
Whales
51
I
ImJustKenšŸ„‡
Entry 52Ā¢Ā·16,382.3 shares
$-1186INV $8.5K Ā· WR 61.3%
T
Tenebrus7šŸ„ˆ
Entry 61Ā¢Ā·2,977.6 shares
$-505INV $1.8K Ā· WR 74.4%
O
on-cinemašŸ„‰
Entry 25Ā¢Ā·2,817.6 shares
+$550INV $703 Ā· WR 65.1%
T
TheGreekTraderPM
Entry 64Ā¢Ā·744.4 shares
$-149INV $480 Ā· WR 62.7%
C
crystalfalls
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·859.6 shares
+$51INV $331 Ā· WR 64.3%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 45Ā¢Ā·452.8 shares
$-2INV $204 Ā· WR 75.7%
H
HukaBarshedged
Entry 29Ā¢Ā·535 sharesĀ·also $329 on NO
+$80INV $158 Ā· WR 56.0%
7
747281hedged
Entry 26Ā¢Ā·406 sharesĀ·also $57 on NO
+$75INV $106 Ā· WR 64.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 4Ā¢Ā·2,467.5 shares
+$1007INV $91 Ā· WR 87.7%
A
acuellarF
Entry 61Ā¢Ā·140 shares
$-23INV $85 Ā· WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Spider-Man: Brand New Day haveā€¦