120 days left
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$402.0K
6,876 trades
Smart Whales
173
of 1,207 traders
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $889.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
63¢−24¢$244.1K52/82Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026−24¢63¢
$244.1K52/82
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+34¢$74.8K21/40Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+34¢0¢
$74.8K21/40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←
38¢+4¢$402.0K72/101Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026←+4¢38¢
$402.0K72/101
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+28¢$168.2K24/62Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+28¢0¢
$168.2K24/62
Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+100¢$018/0Will Movie C have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026+100¢0¢
$018/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
72 YESvs101 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$95+8 new NO$405
$67 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $34.4K is directional: YES $25.4K·NO $9.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$36.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.1K(-39.1%)
Whales
72
R
Red781RuM🥇
Entry 66¢·16,619.9 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-4763
$-4763INV $11.0K · WR 56.9%
D
denzeldumfries🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·14,561.2 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$10.1K
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-4671
$-4671INV $10.1K · WR 79.4%
G
GvLBV🥉
Entry 60¢·16,158.7 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-3631
$-3631INV $9.7K · WR 79.3%
M
Monies-For-Nuggies
Entry 54¢·1,922.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-324
$-324INV $1.0K · WR 85.3%
S
Shijiebeiii
Entry 40¢·1,026.2 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $412 · WR 60.0%
I
inno
Entry 51¢·791.4 shares
Invested
$406
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $406 · WR 57.7%
A
Awestin.eth
Entry 78¢·500 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-203
$-203INV $390 · WR 55.8%
A
Annihilation
Entry 53¢·645.8 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $343 · WR 65.3%
B
benoitgagnon997
Entry 37¢·653 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $242 · WR 57.8%
N
nowayceline
Entry 58¢·294.8 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $170 · WR 73.3%
Showing top 10 of 72
NO Team
Total Invested
$38.6K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.8K(+28.0%)
Whales
101
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 48¢·12,001.2 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1760
+$1760INV $5.7K · WR 87.6%
D
denzeldumfries🥈hedged
Entry 35¢·14,703.8 shares·also $10.1K on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$4102
+$4102INV $5.1K · WR 79.4%
I
ImJustKen🥉
Entry 66¢·6,936.3 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $4.5K · WR 61.3%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 50¢·8,157.1 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$999
+$999INV $4.1K · WR 85.7%
K
korda77
Entry 49¢·6,045.2 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$823
+$823INV $3.0K · WR 85.1%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 45¢·4,991 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$886
+$886INV $2.2K · WR 85.8%
M
merod
Entry 49¢·3,652 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$501
+$501INV $1.8K · WR 83.6%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 45¢·2,603.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$450
+$450INV $1.2K · WR 73.7%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 59¢·1,489 shares
Invested
$879
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $879 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 42¢·1,549.5 shares
Invested
$646
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$322
+$322INV $646 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 101
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