YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$3.58M
9,688 trades
Smart Whales
248
of 2,095 traders · 7 on both sides
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3 MARKETS · $49.65M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
83 YESvs172 NO
33%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 43 YES vs 139 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$90+3 new NO$775
$90 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$34.4K of $395.3K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $181 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $14.3K·NO $346.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$40.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.9K(-57.4%)
Whales
83
T
Threadbare-Signal🥇
Entry 17¢·54,280.5 shares
Invested
$9.4K
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-4215
$-4215INV $9.4K · WR 60.1%
D
dfde3🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·17,142.1 shares·also $8.6K on NO
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-6943
$-6943INV $8.6K · WR 85.7%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·12,000 shares·also $6.0K on NO
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-4860
$-4860INV $6.0K · WR 72.4%
Z
zxdfbdfgngcxv◆Proven
Entry 198¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-3769
$-3769INV $4.0K · WR 83.0%
C
cryptocobieboth sides
Entry 50¢·4,050 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1640
$-1640INV $2.0K · WR 72.2%
A
Ajjooli
Entry 11¢·17,169.4 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-322
$-322INV $2.0K · WR 66.2%
G
Guadaibiao
Entry 15¢·6,940.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-359
$-359INV $1.0K · WR 66.2%
F
firegold
Entry 9¢·7,223.7 shares
Invested
$651
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $651 · WR 59.6%
C
Christian979both sides
Entry 50¢·1,110 shares·also $555 on NO
Invested
$555
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
$-450
$-450INV $555 · WR 93.5%
S
Sunbe
Entry 12¢·2,631 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $313 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 83
NO Team
Total Invested
$378.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$31.9K(+8.4%)
Whales
172
B
bysittingnottrading🥇
Entry 88¢·236,467.1 shares
Invested
$207.6K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$6374
+$6374INV $207.6K · WR 83.3%
J
J3lcExePrd1KE5M🥈
Entry 83¢·46,332.1 shares
Invested
$38.6K
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$3350
+$3350INV $38.6K · WR 90.3%
W
whatuppp🥉
Entry 88¢·21,000 shares
Invested
$18.5K
Win Rate
94.1%
Position P&L
+$461
+$461INV $18.5K · WR 94.1%
I
imakebigbets
Entry 80¢·19,227 shares
Invested
$15.4K
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$1980
+$1980INV $15.4K · WR 70.1%
S
Spanish-Priority
Entry 82¢·17,464.7 shares
Invested
$14.4K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1412
+$1412INV $14.4K · WR 88.0%
E
esports095◆Proven
Entry 88¢·11,803.2 shares
Invested
$10.4K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$302
+$302INV $10.4K · WR 62.8%
E
ElectricSamurai
Entry 84¢·10,999.4 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$752
+$752INV $9.2K · WR 62.1%
D
dfde3both sides
Entry 50¢·17,142.1 shares·also $8.6K on YES
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$6943
+$6943INV $8.6K · WR 85.7%
X
xiaopxiong
Entry 86¢·9,406.9 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$394
+$394INV $8.1K · WR 65.6%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinderboth sides
Entry 50¢·12,000 shares·also $6.0K on YES
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$4860
+$4860INV $6.0K · WR 72.4%
Showing top 10 of 172
Smart Whale Trades
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