YES Price
12ยข
12% implied
NO Price
88ยข
88% implied
Volume
$3.23M
8,405 trades
Smart Whales
233
of 1,820 traders ยท 10 on both sides
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
4 MARKETS ยท $48.12M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
81 YESvs162 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 47 YES vs 143 NO taking a side ยท 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%ยท net of hedges
+4 new YES$140+6 new NO$4.7K
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$59.6K of $431.1K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets โ not a bet on the outcome. $547 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $6.4KยทNO $364.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$42.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$27.2K(-63.8%)
Whales
81
B
balthazar๐ฅboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท45,000 sharesยทalso $22.5K on NO
Invested
$22.5K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-17325
$-17325INV $22.5K ยท WR 71.9%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder๐ฅboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท9,200 sharesยทalso $4.6K on NO
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-3542
$-3542INV $4.6K ยท WR 70.1%
N
nchgbhy๐ฅ
Entry 198ยขยท2,000 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-3729
$-3729INV $4.0K ยท WR 83.7%
C
cryptocobieboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท4,050 sharesยทalso $2.0K on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1559
$-1559INV $2.0K ยท WR 72.2%
A
Ajjooli
Entry 12ยขยท15,469.4 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $1.8K ยท WR 65.7%
F
firegold
Entry 11ยขยท9,793.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1.1K ยท WR 60.2%
G
Guadaibiao
Entry 16ยขยท5,840.9 shares
Invested
$919
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $919 ยท WR 66.5%
C
Christian979both sides
Entry 50ยขยท1,110 sharesยทalso $555 on NO
Invested
$555
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
$-427
$-427INV $555 ยท WR 96.0%
M
makanmakan
Entry 15ยขยท3,499.9 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $530 ยท WR 69.7%
G
george6688
Entry 11ยขยท3,000 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $340 ยท WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 81
NO Team
Total Invested
$404.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$32.6K(+8.1%)
Whales
162
B
bysittingnottrading๐ฅ
Entry 88ยขยท235,701.7 shares
Invested
$206.9K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$1640
+$1640INV $206.9K ยท WR 81.8%
J
J3cExePrd1KEM๐ฅ
Entry 83ยขยท46,332.1 shares
Invested
$38.6K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$2424
+$2424INV $38.6K ยท WR 90.0%
W
whatuppp๐ฅ
Entry 88ยขยท31,077.3 shares
Invested
$27.4K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $27.4K ยท WR 100.0%
B
balthazarboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท45,000 sharesยทalso $22.5K on YES
Invested
$22.5K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$17325
+$17325INV $22.5K ยท WR 71.9%
I
imakebigbets
Entry 80ยขยท24,227 shares
Invested
$19.4K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$2010
+$2010INV $19.4K ยท WR 70.6%
S
Spanish-Priority
Entry 82ยขยท17,464.7 shares
Invested
$14.4K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1063
+$1063INV $14.4K ยท WR 88.0%
E
ElectricSamurai
Entry 84ยขยท10,999.4 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$532
+$532INV $9.2K ยท WR 62.1%
C
Car
Entry 89ยขยท10,000 shares
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $8.9K ยท WR 65.1%
X
xiaopxiong
Entry 86ยขยท9,406.9 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $8.1K ยท WR 65.9%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinderboth sides
Entry 50ยขยท9,200 sharesยทalso $4.6K on YES
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$3542
+$3542INV $4.6K ยท WR 70.1%
Showing top 10 of 162
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