dfde3 · Polymarket wallet 0x7223…adc8

Wallet snapshot

dfde3 has made 1,025 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $440K in volume. Most of it is in economics (42%) and politics (25%). On 34 resolved markets the win rate is 82.4%, lifetime P&L +$6,257. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $23K · 50¢ → 98¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $934 · 76¢ → 87¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $496 · 50¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$750 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$9 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$80 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1,531 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$51 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$4 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$18 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$10 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$531 · Jun 17, 2026
• Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$24 · Jun 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.