Geopolitics61 days left

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$3.75M
14,063 trades
Smart Whales
296
of 1,770 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

150 YESvs150 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 81 YES vs 88 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$664+5 new NO$1.2K
$317 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$321 of $634.2K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $72.5K·NO $561.3K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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