StoneMeadowTrail · Polymarket wallet 0x8c6f…2154

Wallet snapshot

StoneMeadowTrail has made 1,017 trades on Polymarket across 89 markets, $74K in volume. Most of it is in sports (90%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 57.7%, lifetime P&L +$383. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $168 · 86¢ → 86¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $139 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $69 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $25 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes · $15 · 8¢ → 9¢
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $11 · 3¢ → 2¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $10 · 4¢ → 4¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes · $6 · 4¢ → 4¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $0 · 13¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes · +$2,946 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · -$189 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$273 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · +$2,695 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · -$908 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No · +$582 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.