YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$3.97M
48,899 trades
Smart Whales
624
of 4,989 traders · 21 on both sides
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
27 MARKETS · $42.08M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
336 YESvs309 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 230 YES vs 112 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 54%· net of hedges
+81 new YES$15.4K+50 new NO$13.4K
$5.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2.8K of $170.5K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $113.3K·NO $54.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$138.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.4K(-14.8%)
Whales
336
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 30¢·78,493.9 shares
Invested
$23.5K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1607
$-1607INV $23.5K · WR 71.6%
B
bc7g🥈
Entry 52¢·31,553.7 shares
Invested
$16.4K
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-7600
$-7600INV $16.4K · WR 55.8%
L
Lexington◆Proven🥉
Entry 41¢·39,946.6 shares
Invested
$16.2K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5035
$-5035INV $16.2K · WR 67.4%
T
Tobias1909hedged
Entry 47¢·17,524.2 shares·also $201 on NO
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-3355
$-3355INV $8.2K · WR 71.6%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 37¢·18,968 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-1708
$-1708INV $7.0K · WR 59.8%
Z
zb8
Entry 46¢·10,388.2 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1838
$-1838INV $4.7K · WR 59.4%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 36¢·11,939.7 shares·also $14.1K on NO
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1029
$-1029INV $4.4K · WR 56.3%
C
carlaAB
Entry 46¢·6,007.5 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-1061
$-1061INV $2.7K · WR 64.4%
Z
zthunderfury
Entry 55¢·4,471.6 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-1196
$-1196INV $2.4K · WR 71.1%
M
marcoisno.1
Entry 38¢·6,067.3 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-600
$-600INV $2.3K · WR 79.0%
Showing top 10 of 336
NO Team
Total Invested
$302.1K
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$172.8K(+57.2%)
Whales
309
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 67¢·57,099.8 shares
Invested
$38.5K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2671
+$2671INV $38.5K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·66,153.9 shares
Invested
$32.8K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$14979
+$14979INV $32.8K · WR 72.2%
K
kneelbeforetheking🥉
Entry 22¢·116,874 shares
Invested
$25.6K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$58739
+$58739INV $25.6K · WR 92.2%
H
HOG993
Entry 29¢·68,999.2 shares
Invested
$19.9K
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$29866
+$29866INV $19.9K · WR 78.3%
G
Gucky-45
Entry 29¢·60,799.9 shares
Invested
$17.7K
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$26183
+$26183INV $17.7K · WR 89.6%
D
Dropperhedged
Entry 64¢·25,231.2 shares·also $740 on YES
Invested
$16.2K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$1953
+$1953INV $16.2K · WR 75.2%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 64¢·21,864.7 shares·also $4.4K on YES
Invested
$14.1K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1704
+$1704INV $14.1K · WR 56.3%
I
ivantoney
Entry 54¢·16,611.3 shares
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$3012
+$3012INV $9.0K · WR 70.0%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 80¢·10,958.6 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-864
$-864INV $8.8K · WR 66.5%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 76¢·10,932.5 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-469
$-469INV $8.4K · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 309
Smart Whale Trades
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