Sports50 days left

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES Price
16ยข
16% implied
NO Price
84ยข
84% implied
Volume
$2.21M
30,312 trades
Smart Whales
425
of 3,698 traders ยท 5 on both sides

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

27 MARKETS ยท $28.10M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

206 YESvs224 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars ยท 154 YES vs 97 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%ยท net of hedges
+40 new YES$3.6K+15 new NO$1.2K
$274 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
5 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$323 of $88.7K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $41.9KยทNO $46.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or