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Sports89 days left

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.98M
35,241 trades
Smart Whales
396
of 3,672 traders · 5 on both sides

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

27 MARKETS · $37.08M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

180 YESvs221 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 128 YES vs 88 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+65 new YES$2.8K+57 new NO$39.4K
$672 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$258 of $105.5K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $13.0K·NO $92.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$25.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$9.5K(-37.7%)
Whales
180
B
borja13🥇
Entry 6¢·45,827.5 shares
$-1255INV $2.6K · WR 67.9%
B
b5TqX82Ky🥈hedged
Entry 9¢·25,028.5 shares·also $22.8K on NO
$-1680INV $2.3K · WR 68.9%
D
debasedProven🥉
Entry 6¢·25,974 shares
$-939INV $1.7K · WR 65.9%
T
timebrotime
Entry 11¢·12,885.4 shares
$-1033INV $1.4K · WR 68.3%
B
Blaskinho
Entry 8¢·14,058.1 shares
$-723INV $1.1K · WR 65.9%
A
alpha-bonds
Entry 13¢·8,115.3 shares
$-813INV $1.0K · WR 87.2%
L
LaGalaxyLover
Entry 10¢·10,100.2 shares
$-735INV $1.0K · WR 63.1%
S
sciuboi
Entry 4¢·11,243.9 shares
$-147INV $467 · WR 69.6%
P
PascalPro
Entry 10¢·2,953.8 shares
$-202INV $287 · WR 64.4%
M
Misty-Handicap
Entry 8¢·2,800.2 shares
$-142INV $222 · WR 76.4%
Showing top 10 of 180

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or