Sports88 days left

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES Price
3ยข
3% implied
NO Price
97ยข
97% implied
Volume
$3.74M
36,648 trades
Smart Whales
404
of 3,931 traders ยท 6 on both sides

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

27 MARKETS ยท $37.65M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

165 YESvs245 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 117 YES vs 136 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%ยท net of hedges
+57 new YES$2.0K+57 new NO$31.1K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
8 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$105 of $311.5K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $6.5KยทNO $304.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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