Crypto102 days left

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$2.15M

9,853 trades

Smart Whales

257

of 1,761 traders

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

31 MARKETS · $62.53M MATCHED

Smart Money

1¢+37¢$5.48M152/247

$250,000+37¢1¢

2¢+39¢$4.98M158/232

$15,000+39¢2¢

10¢+38¢$3.82M162/174

$50,000+38¢10¢

6¢+36¢$2.15M108/149

$40,000←+36¢6¢

3¢+36¢$873.5K65/100

$30,000+36¢3¢

2¢+41¢$614.2K60/80

$20,000+41¢2¢

2¢+29¢$863.2K33/75

$10,000+29¢2¢

1¢+19¢$804.6K57/227

60¢+8¢$1.92M273/130

$90,000+8¢60¢

1¢+23¢$1.59M110/347

$500,000+23¢1¢

0¢+18¢$2.81M157/732

$1,000,000+18¢0¢

38¢+11¢$676.5K40/41

$95,000+11¢38¢

81¢−1¢$904.5K158/39

$85,000−1¢81¢

18¢+38¢$841.7K45/35

$60,000+38¢18¢

49¢+2¢$340.2K26/25

$70,000+2¢49¢

31¢+9¢$200.8K18/27

$65,000+9¢31¢

1¢+36¢$2.05M121/207

$200,000+36¢1¢

1¢+42¢$738.4K65/86

$190,000+42¢1¢

1¢+42¢$541.2K64/85

$180,000+42¢1¢

1¢+42¢$460.4K64/85

$170,000+42¢1¢

2¢+31¢$650.0K65/131

$160,000+31¢2¢

3¢+40¢$1.19M126/166

$150,000+40¢3¢

4¢+40¢$1.15M95/119

$140,000+40¢4¢

5¢+35¢$1.37M106/157

$130,000+35¢5¢

8¢+35¢$1.87M153/199

$120,000+35¢8¢

14¢+35¢$1.76M181/190

$110,000+35¢14¢

26¢+27¢$3.39M406/355

$100,000+27¢26¢

14¢+36¢$6.14M267/270

$55,000+36¢14¢

5¢+40¢$7.69M216/262

$45,000+40¢5¢

3¢+37¢$3.35M163/247

$35,000+37¢3¢

2¢+38¢$1.32M145/216

$25,000+38¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

108 YESvs149 NO

42%58%

58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 53 YES vs 109 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges

+4 new YES$85+7 new NO$3.0K

$91 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $118.2K is directional: YES $25.8K·NO $92.4K

YES Team

Total Invested

$50.0K

Avg Win Rate

74.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$37.1K(-74.3%)

Whales

108

Entry 28¢·65,440.4 shares

$-14763INV $18.4K · WR 75.8%

Entry 213¢·3,423.3 shares

$-7103INV $7.3K · WR 68.0%

Entry 76¢·6,183.9 shares

$-4339INV $4.7K · WR 94.1%

Entry 74¢·4,679 shares·also $1.8K on NO

$-3212INV $3.5K · WR 65.1%

Turtleinyhedged

Entry 65¢·3,152.8 shares·also $1.2K on NO

$-1876INV $2.0K · WR 63.3%

Capital-Endoderm

Entry 29¢·4,184.7 shares

$-1002INV $1.2K · WR 60.8%

Entry 28¢·3,789.2 shares

$-853INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%

Entry 39¢·2,651.3 shares

$-888INV $1.0K · WR 81.1%

Entry 22¢·3,747.2 shares

$-621INV $827 · WR 68.8%

Entry 24¢·2,701.7 shares

$-507INV $656 · WR 78.6%

Showing top 10 of 108

NO Team

Total Invested

$127.3K

Avg Win Rate

73.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$36.5K(+28.7%)

Whales

149

sorcerer.00🥇

Entry 60¢·25,479.3 shares

+$8895INV $15.2K · WR 77.6%

Entry 61¢·19,668.4 shares

+$6510INV $12.1K · WR 66.7%

Entry 90¢·12,983.8 shares

+$592INV $11.7K · WR 55.8%

Entry 87¢·11,532.2 shares

+$898INV $10.0K · WR 65.0%

Entry 87¢·10,463.3 shares

+$785INV $9.1K · WR 68.1%

Entry 69¢·11,384.4 shares

+$2884INV $7.9K · WR 58.9%

Entry 79¢·8,654.2 shares

+$1341INV $6.8K · WR 89.4%

Entry 85¢·7,499.4 shares

+$694INV $6.4K · WR 94.7%

Entry 95¢·4,100 shares

$-21INV $3.9K · WR 91.4%

Entry 66¢·4,776.5 shares

+$1342INV $3.2K · WR 71.1%

Showing top 10 of 149

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 42% YES: Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31…