Politics43 days left
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$6.83M
41,629 trades
Smart Whales
1385
of 7,991 traders · 23 on both sides
Which party will win the House in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $11.84M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
923 YESvs485 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 617 YES vs 76 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$62.3K+43 new NO$6.0K
$4.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26.5K of $1.85M is held equally on both sides by 12 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $108.9K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $1.63M·NO $83.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.78M
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$210.2K(+11.8%)
Whales
923
S
scottilicious🥇
Entry 84¢·259,973.4 shares
Invested
$217.6K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$22893
+$22893INV $217.6K · WR 85.5%
M
mnuop8890🥈
Entry 91¢·188,737.5 shares
Invested
$171.1K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$3500
+$3500INV $171.1K · WR 65.6%
P
PolBandit🥉
Entry 86¢·79,181.3 shares
Invested
$67.8K
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$5477
+$5477INV $67.8K · WR 87.2%
Y
Yirmeyahu
Entry 85¢·62,989.4 shares
Invested
$53.2K
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$5039
+$5039INV $53.2K · WR 65.4%
S
SAPolitcsSeer
Entry 84¢·61,396.9 shares
Invested
$51.4K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$5420
+$5420INV $51.4K · WR 91.4%
G
GoriIIa
Entry 87¢·59,066.1 shares
Invested
$51.1K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$3486
+$3486INV $51.1K · WR 71.8%
1
18in36out
Entry 82¢·61,000 shares
Invested
$50.3K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$6155
+$6155INV $50.3K · WR 100.0%
K
Known-Stock
Entry 82¢·58,587.7 shares
Invested
$48.1K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$6061
+$6061INV $48.1K · WR 83.0%
D
DLEK
Entry 80¢·59,147.5 shares
Invested
$47.4K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$7261
+$7261INV $47.4K · WR 55.4%
H
hideo
Entry 81¢·58,143.3 shares
Invested
$47.2K
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$6621
+$6621INV $47.2K · WR 75.6%
Showing top 10 of 923
NO Team
Total Invested
$436.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$148.4K(-34.0%)
Whales
485
Y
YoshiYamamoto🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·85,683 shares·also $43.2K on YES
Invested
$42.8K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-36415
$-36415INV $42.8K · WR 69.3%
A
alliswell🥈
Entry 84¢·45,859.8 shares
Invested
$38.4K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-34962
$-34962INV $38.4K · WR 86.6%
1
11122🥉
Entry 17¢·210,166.8 shares
Invested
$34.8K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-19074
$-19074INV $34.8K · WR 60.6%
A
AJM96
Entry 18¢·75,895 shares
Invested
$13.6K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-7951
$-7951INV $13.6K · WR 59.4%
O
Old-Outfielderboth sides
Entry 50¢·25,400 shares·also $12.7K on YES
Invested
$12.7K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-10795
$-10795INV $12.7K · WR 77.1%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 18¢·67,650.9 shares
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-7431
$-7431INV $12.5K · WR 81.6%
F
foodenjoyerhedged
Entry 10¢·100,000 shares·also $8.2K on YES
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-2500
$-2500INV $10.0K · WR 60.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 20¢·40,271.4 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4966
$-4966INV $8.0K · WR 85.8%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 14¢·51,090.9 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-3540
$-3540INV $7.4K · WR 77.9%
D
debased
Entry 13¢·42,343.5 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-2465
$-2465INV $5.6K · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 485
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1312ms