SAPolitcsSeer · Polymarket wallet 0xa30e…49d5

Wallet snapshot

SAPolitcsSeer has made 1,953 trades on Polymarket across 112 markets, $2.8M in volume. Most of it is in politics (55%) and geopolitics (35%). On 76 resolved markets the win rate is 92.1%, lifetime P&L +$64K. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $78K · 86¢ → 91¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $31K · 95¢ → 99¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $25K · 83¢ → 96¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $20K · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No · $19K · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No · $19K · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes · $16K · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes · $15K · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes · $11K · 93¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes · $9,280 · 94¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$446 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$476 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$266 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$53 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · +$6,155 · Oct 2, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No · +$89 · Oct 1, 2026

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