Politics11 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$19.7K
396 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 107 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $88.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs23 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+5 new YES$55+10 new NO$603
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.1K is directional: YES $94·NO $4.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$94
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+14.3%)
Whales
7
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 7¢·988.8 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $71 · WR 74.9%
N
neverhackme🥈
Entry 8¢·99 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 75.6%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 8¢·80 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 79.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·46.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 87.6%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 9¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 86.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
89.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$160(+2.8%)
Whales
23
B
BuddhaYTorrance🥇
Entry 95¢·2,608.4 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
94.3%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $2.5K · WR 94.3%
S
SAPolitcsSeer🥈
Entry 92¢·1,553.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $1.4K · WR 92.1%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 93¢·611.8 shares
Invested
$570
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $570 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 90¢·432.9 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $388 · WR 72.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 90¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $120 · WR 84.4%
L
lpgb
Entry 50¢·210 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $105 · WR 76.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 94¢·98 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $92 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 64¢·120 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $77 · WR 89.3%
K
kaxel78
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $70 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 93¢·60 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $56 · WR 88.7%
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