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Politics43 days left

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$5.04M
22,370 trades
Smart Whales
559
of 4,123 traders · 6 on both sides

Which party will win the House in 2026?

2 MARKETS · $11.89M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

204 YESvs361 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 80 YES vs 176 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$4.1K+34 new NO$278.4K
$809 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$691 of $665.9K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $22.8K·NO $642.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$61.1K
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.1K(-18.1%)
Whales
204
1
11122🥇
Entry 10¢·44,030.2 shares
$-1174INV $4.5K · WR 60.6%
M
macrosteaks🥈
Entry 13¢·29,925.3 shares
$-1614INV $3.9K · WR 60.0%
K
Kickstand7🥉
Entry 21¢·15,855.8 shares
$-2196INV $3.4K · WR 63.2%
P
Paltry-Venom
Entry 18¢·15,386.9 shares
$-1578INV $2.7K · WR 58.3%
D
debased
Entry 12¢·11,292.9 shares
$-523INV $1.4K · WR 65.9%
B
bosshog
Entry 18¢·7,500 shares
$-787INV $1.3K · WR 70.8%
M
Metamah
Entry 11¢·9,100 shares
$-319INV $1.0K · WR 75.0%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 18¢·5,565 shares·also $2 on NO
$-577INV $994 · WR 69.3%
N
Newshound
Entry 23¢·2,198.1 shares
$-332INV $497 · WR 57.7%
S
sweetj
Entry 11¢·4,000 shares
$-156INV $456 · WR 75.8%
Showing top 10 of 204

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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