Politics43 days left

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$5.01M
22,369 trades
Smart Whales
558
of 4,123 traders · 6 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

204 YESvs360 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 81 YES vs 176 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$4.1K+34 new NO$278.4K
$809 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$691 of $665.9K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $22.8K·NO $642.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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