Geopolitics12 days left
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$1.37M
18,661 trades
Smart Whales
302
of 1,456 traders · 9 on both sides
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
19 MARKETS · $5.92M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
169 YESvs142 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 103 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+120 new YES$81.9K+98 new NO$6.6K
$6.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 48 buyers — left out of momentum
36 smart whales39 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$316 of $120.4K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $80.0K·NO $40.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$94.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$16.2K(+17.2%)
Whales
169
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 80¢·17,044.3 shares
Invested
$13.7K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$855
+$855INV $13.7K · WR 61.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 79¢·16,509.7 shares
Invested
$13.1K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1040
+$1040INV $13.1K · WR 71.9%
K
Klutzy-User🥉
Entry 62¢·9,815.9 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$2346
+$2346INV $6.0K · WR 73.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 91¢·5,500 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-300
$-300INV $5.0K · WR 58.1%
E
Everestpredictions
Entry 88¢·5,405.8 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $4.8K · WR 70.7%
H
Huludubu
Entry 75¢·4,950 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$528
+$528INV $3.7K · WR 65.1%
T
thoodr
Entry 92¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
95.9%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $3.7K · WR 95.9%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 34¢·7,686.6 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$4023
+$4023INV $2.6K · WR 60.4%
K
katbot
Entry 70¢·3,655.5 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$578
+$578INV $2.6K · WR 61.0%
S
Sticky-Closinghedged
Entry 45¢·5,566.7 shares·also $10.7K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$2299
+$2299INV $2.5K · WR 61.8%
Showing top 10 of 169
NO Team
Total Invested
$96.2K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$51.1K(-53.2%)
Whales
142
S
SlotinCap🥇
Entry 47¢·63,548.1 shares
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-20680
$-20680INV $30.0K · WR 68.8%
S
Sticky-Closing🥈hedged
Entry 136¢·7,886.6 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-9661
$-9661INV $10.7K · WR 61.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 86¢·11,793.5 shares
Invested
$10.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8570
$-8570INV $10.2K · WR 85.8%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 51¢·9,964.1 shares·also $2.6K on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3785
$-3785INV $5.1K · WR 60.4%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 45¢·6,960.2 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2199
$-2199INV $3.1K · WR 85.9%
W
Warren-Buffett
Entry 42¢·3,999.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-1104
$-1104INV $1.7K · WR 66.0%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 65¢·2,174.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-1105
$-1105INV $1.4K · WR 57.4%
B
Bertapotamous
Entry 98¢·1,339 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-1111
$-1111INV $1.3K · WR 75.4%
M
Metamah
Entry 55¢·1,819 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-735
$-735INV $1.0K · WR 75.0%
D
Dragontree
Entry 20¢·3,413.4 shares
Invested
$698
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $698 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 142
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