Geopolitics80 days left
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$3.42M
50,169 trades
Smart Whales
822
of 7,084 traders · 9 on both sides
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
18 MARKETS · $98.20M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
378 YESvs453 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 184 YES vs 189 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$1.8K+7 new NO$248
$405 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.9K of $180.0K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $154.6K·NO $23.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$193.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$87.9K(+45.6%)
Whales
378
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥇
Entry 54¢·49,949.7 shares
Invested
$27.1K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$8625
+$8625INV $27.1K · WR 71.4%
E
ED99999🥈
Entry 55¢·36,533.8 shares
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$6094
+$6094INV $20.0K · WR 73.6%
D
denizz◆Proven🥉
Entry 51¢·33,594.6 shares
Invested
$17.2K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$6826
+$6826INV $17.2K · WR 68.6%
G
gokol
Entry 79¢·16,201.2 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-1187
$-1187INV $12.8K · WR 73.9%
O
Odysseus7
Entry 33¢·26,382.5 shares
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$10182
+$10182INV $8.7K · WR 68.9%
P
pkz
Entry 24¢·35,269.7 shares
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$16695
+$16695INV $8.5K · WR 60.7%
S
skibabiba
Entry 80¢·8,999.9 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-742
$-742INV $7.2K · WR 84.1%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 50¢·9,573.8 shares·also $5.8K on NO
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$2088
+$2088INV $4.8K · WR 56.3%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 67¢·6,225.6 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$312
+$312INV $4.1K · WR 56.0%
M
mm4ker
Entry 82¢·4,421.8 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-441
$-441INV $3.6K · WR 69.7%
Showing top 10 of 378
NO Team
Total Invested
$197.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$72.2K(-36.6%)
Whales
453
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 85¢·94,221.3 shares
Invested
$80.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-53131
$-53131INV $80.0K · WR 57.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·24,562.6 shares
Invested
$12.2K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5217
$-5217INV $12.2K · WR 85.9%
B
Bikesarethebest🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·11,430.1 shares·also $4.8K on YES
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2543
$-2543INV $5.8K · WR 56.3%
P
Pygorean
Entry 91¢·4,376.8 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-2755
$-2755INV $4.0K · WR 71.5%
T
tomorrownow
Entry 60¢·6,601.6 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2096
$-2096INV $4.0K · WR 72.2%
A
archaic
Entry 35¢·11,363.3 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-696
$-696INV $3.9K · WR 86.8%
1
101456
Entry 55¢·4,885.1 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-1284
$-1284INV $2.7K · WR 55.9%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 52¢·5,039.3 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1165
$-1165INV $2.6K · WR 85.7%
C
cashy◆Proven
Entry 46¢·2,685.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-479
$-479INV $1.2K · WR 72.3%
P
Prize-Railing
Entry 24¢·4,253 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$179
+$179INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 453
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