YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$3.32M
27,159 trades
Smart Whales
699
of 5,575 traders · 44 on both sides
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
5 MARKETS · $12.76M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
434 YESvs309 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 299 YES vs 98 NO taking a side · 36 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 59%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$7.3K+22 new NO$5.2K
$262 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 97% of the money is not a bet
$9.90M of $10.23M is held equally on both sides by 36 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $263.7K·NO $69.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$5.26M
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.14M(+21.7%)
Whales
434
S
Substantial-Service🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·6,000,000 shares·also $3.00M on NO
Invested
$3.00M
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$630000
+$630000INV $3.00M · WR 55.0%
R
rdba🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·3,431,175.4 shares·also $1.72M on NO
Invested
$1.72M
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$360273
+$360273INV $1.72M · WR 75.2%
C
chongchongpanda🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·262,054.2 shares·also $131.0K on NO
Invested
$131.0K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$27516
+$27516INV $131.0K · WR 86.5%
D
Dull-Fluteboth sides
Entry 50¢·140,000 shares·also $70.0K on NO
Invested
$70.0K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$14700
+$14700INV $70.0K · WR 77.8%
L
Loyalty-Crash
Entry 46¢·60,725.7 shares
Invested
$27.8K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$8923
+$8923INV $27.8K · WR 62.9%
R
RememberAmalek
Entry 36¢·72,277 shares
Invested
$25.8K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$17894
+$17894INV $25.8K · WR 65.2%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on NO
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$5250
+$5250INV $25.0K · WR 83.1%
B
Brokie
Entry 47¢·45,161.5 shares
Invested
$21.4K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$5965
+$5965INV $21.4K · WR 59.3%
V
Valen9
Entry 50¢·41,415 shares
Invested
$20.6K
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$4454
+$4454INV $20.6K · WR 61.6%
P
PropheticFire
Entry 49¢·37,774.1 shares
Invested
$18.5K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$4345
+$4345INV $18.5K · WR 62.3%
Showing top 10 of 434
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.16M
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.07M(-20.7%)
Whales
309
S
Substantial-Service🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·6,000,000 shares·also $3.00M on YES
Invested
$3.00M
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-630000
$-630000INV $3.00M · WR 55.0%
R
rdba🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·3,431,175.4 shares·also $1.72M on YES
Invested
$1.72M
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-360273
$-360273INV $1.72M · WR 75.2%
C
chongchongpanda🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·262,054.2 shares·also $131.0K on YES
Invested
$131.0K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-27516
$-27516INV $131.0K · WR 86.5%
D
Dull-Fluteboth sides
Entry 50¢·140,000 shares·also $70.0K on YES
Invested
$70.0K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-14700
$-14700INV $70.0K · WR 77.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 53¢·59,403.5 shares
Invested
$31.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-7447
$-7447INV $31.5K · WR 85.8%
1
11122
Entry 47¢·65,417.8 shares
Invested
$31.0K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-5155
$-5155INV $31.0K · WR 60.6%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on YES
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-5250
$-5250INV $25.0K · WR 83.1%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 49¢·47,134.9 shares
Invested
$23.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4173
$-4173INV $23.3K · WR 85.8%
N
ndb1
Entry 50¢·21,704.8 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-2279
$-2279INV $10.9K · WR 74.6%
R
rated
Entry 60¢·15,781.3 shares
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3096
$-3096INV $9.5K · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 309
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)