Geopolitics111 days left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES Price
16Ā¢
16% implied
NO Price
84Ā¢
84% implied
Volume
$11.22M
58,709 trades
Smart Whales
640
of 12,009 traders Ā· 17 on both sides
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6 MARKETS Ā· $40.35M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
336 YESvs321 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars Ā· 225 YES vs 196 NO taking a side Ā· 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%Ā· net of hedges
+80 new YES$61.6K+43 new NO$140.2K
$57.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers ā left out of momentum
16 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$10.0K of $930.9K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets ā not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $405.6KĀ·NO $513.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$512.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$301.7K(-58.9%)
Whales
336
H
Huludubuš„
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·83,622 shares
Invested
$65.8K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-52022
$-52022INV $65.8K Ā· WR 65.1%
D
denizzš„
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·66,246.1 shares
Invested
$36.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-25601
$-25601INV $36.5K Ā· WR 68.6%
H
Harlucš„
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·60,542 shares
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-19981
$-19981INV $30.0K Ā· WR 73.2%
D
dedpepe
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·34,674.9 shares
Invested
$20.3K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-14576
$-14576INV $20.3K Ā· WR 61.5%
N
Newshound
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·32,465.1 shares
Invested
$19.3K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-13979
$-13979INV $19.3K Ā· WR 57.8%
A
Aq4ExePrd22Jn
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·20,579.6 shares
Invested
$18.5K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-15135
$-15135INV $18.5K Ā· WR 88.2%
A
apple-pi
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·15,029 shares
Invested
$12.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-9484
$-9484INV $12.0K Ā· WR 66.7%
T
Tenebrus7
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·19,327.6 shares
Invested
$11.4K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-8396
$-8396INV $11.4K Ā· WR 74.4%
M
Mr-Krabs
Entry 81Ā¢Ā·13,196.7 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-8514
$-8514INV $10.7K Ā· WR 78.9%
J
John-Silver
Entry 86Ā¢Ā·12,308.2 shares
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-8610
$-8610INV $10.6K Ā· WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 336
NO Team
Total Invested
$611.6K
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$390.6K(+63.9%)
Whales
321
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAš„
Entry 59Ā¢Ā·175,696.6 shares
Invested
$104.1K
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$42562
+$42562INV $104.1K Ā· WR 88.3%
T
Trump2028š„
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·170,096.2 shares
Invested
$102.2K
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$39788
+$39788INV $102.2K Ā· WR 94.7%
R
RememberAmalekš„
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·247,673.1 shares
Invested
$73.9K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$132874
+$132874INV $73.9K Ā· WR 65.1%
M
MisTKy
Entry 65Ā¢Ā·54,567.7 shares
Invested
$35.6K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$9929
+$9929INV $35.6K Ā· WR 72.3%
S
Some-Pannier
Entry 74Ā¢Ā·26,810.8 shares
Invested
$19.8K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$2547
+$2547INV $19.8K Ā· WR 90.0%
K
Kevindoto
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·29,537.4 shares
Invested
$16.2K
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$8493
+$8493INV $16.2K Ā· WR 84.2%
T
tja
Entry 36Ā¢Ā·41,494.3 shares
Invested
$15.0K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$19672
+$19672INV $15.0K Ā· WR 74.4%
T
Telepath-One
Entry 35Ā¢Ā·43,160.2 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$21089
+$21089INV $14.9K Ā· WR 73.6%
W
whig
Entry 52Ā¢Ā·13,999.9 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$4392
+$4392INV $7.3K Ā· WR 62.9%
K
katbot
Entry 65Ā¢Ā·10,298.5 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$1899
+$1899INV $6.7K Ā· WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 321
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)