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Geopolitics66 days left

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$15.63M
67,451 trades
Smart Whales
663
of 12,728 traders · 12 on both sides

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

3 MARKETS · $20.07M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

313 YESvs362 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 177 YES vs 213 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$5.0K+15 new NO$32.3K
$992 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.7K of $766.3K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $345.9K·NO $418.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$517.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$270.0K(-52.2%)
Whales
313
A
armads🥇
Entry 70¢·115,000 shares
$-67195INV $80.4K · WR 56.1%
T
tetrase🥈
Entry 28¢·138,816.2 shares
$-22804INV $38.8K · WR 73.8%
D
denizzProven🥉
Entry 55¢·52,246.1 shares
$-22803INV $28.8K · WR 68.6%
H
helpisontheway
Entry 64¢·33,800 shares
$-17623INV $21.5K · WR 65.5%
N
Newshound
Entry 55¢·36,889.8 shares
$-16155INV $20.4K · WR 57.1%
P
products
Entry 20¢·90,000 shares
$-7300INV $17.6K · WR 86.5%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 37¢·42,785.2 shares
$-11077INV $16.0K · WR 74.2%
A
apple-piProven
Entry 80¢·15,029 shares
$-10236INV $12.0K · WR 66.6%
J
John-Silver
Entry 86¢·12,308.2 shares
$-9225INV $10.6K · WR 67.0%
S
shuanyang
Entry 41¢·20,000 shares
$-5900INV $8.2K · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 313

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns…