TheRealWarMonger · Polymarket wallet 0xe472…e7eb

Wallet snapshot

TheRealWarMonger has made 16,162 trades on Polymarket across 646 markets, $5.9M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and economics (21%). On 587 resolved markets the win rate is 81.4%, lifetime P&L -$6,102. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $42K · 82¢ → 94¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $31K · 84¢ → 78¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $21K · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $19K · 89¢ → 89¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No · $8,239 · 92¢ → 85¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $8,041 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3,315 · 77¢ → 85¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $2,777 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $2,356 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $2,280 · 91¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 18, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No · +$4 · Oct 17, 2026
• Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No · -$304 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$112 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No · +$32 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 15, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

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