cmarx · Polymarket wallet 0x1733…9411

Wallet snapshot

cmarx has made 856 trades on Polymarket across 149 markets, $220K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (39%) and politics (32%). On 133 resolved markets the win rate is 60.2%, lifetime P&L +$112. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $4,121 · 10¢ → 18¢
• Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $1,835 · 32¢ → 100¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No · $1,565 · 65¢ → 74¢
• Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes · $625 · 54¢ → 25¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No · $429 · 15¢ → 8¢
• Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No · $391 · 94¢ → 100¢
• Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $170 · 76¢ → 34¢
• Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes · $143 · 64¢ → 28¢
• Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes · $39 · 45¢ → 20¢
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes · $37 · 63¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,813 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$243 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No · +$247 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$884 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No · +$73 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No · +$1,729 · Sep 1, 2026

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