Tech/AI81 days left
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$52.3K
2,059 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 576 traders
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 MARKETS · $258.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
41 YESvs45 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 22 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$1.3K+4 new NO$973
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.8K is directional: YES $535·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$939
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$167(-17.8%)
Whales
41
C
Car🥇
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $161 · WR 64.9%
I
IbnKhaldun🥈
Entry 34¢·314 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $108 · WR 57.1%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 22¢·400 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $88 · WR 67.4%
A
acuellarF
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $53 · WR 65.5%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 37¢·92.5 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $34 · WR 57.3%
M
Mahnic
Entry 38¢·89.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $34 · WR 60.5%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 28¢·109.2 shares·also $92 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $31 · WR 57.1%
J
Jnm1234
Entry 30¢·85.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $26 · WR 67.9%
A
ag129
Entry 25¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $21 · WR 55.8%
P
Puzzled-Footballhedged
Entry 18¢·102.8 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 82.0%
Showing top 10 of 41
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.5K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$735(+11.3%)
Whales
45
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 90¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $1.8K · WR 71.0%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 71¢·2,316.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $1.7K · WR 63.4%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥉
Entry 81¢·766 shares
Invested
$620
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $620 · WR 90.9%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 75¢·510 shares
Invested
$383
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $383 · WR 62.6%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 71¢·484.1 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $344 · WR 65.3%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 59¢·400.7 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $237 · WR 60.4%
B
badkidsart
Entry 48¢·307.9 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $148 · WR 61.7%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 69¢·207.6 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $143 · WR 90.5%
A
AlexWHLUX
Entry 73¢·138.9 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $101 · WR 65.4%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 84¢·109.2 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $92 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 45
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 816ms