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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
TECH80d left
51%
35yes34no
11¢
80d left
$2.4M
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
56%
167yes132no
27¢
18d left
$516K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
64%
158yes89no
71¢
18d left
$480K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH79d left
61%
175yes112no
42¢
79d left
$337K
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
TECH80d left
38%
35yes58no
16¢
80d left
$321K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
TECH80d left
38%
61yes100no
14¢
80d left
$316K
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
TECH445d left
46%
33yes38no
55¢
445d left
$277K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH79d left
33%
47yes94no
43¢
79d left
$260K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
65%
100yes53no
89¢
19d left
$244K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
TECH3d left
53%
228yes201no
68¢
3d left
$215K
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
TECH80d left
54%
39yes33no
67¢
80d left
$204K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
TECH811d left
15%
5yes28no
19¢
811d left
$170K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
51%
39yes37no
11¢
19d left
$164K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
TECH20d left
43%
43yes57no
86¢
20d left
$143K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
TECH80d left
48%
41yes45no
20¢
80d left
$85K
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
TECH80d left
34%
19yes37no
11¢
80d left
$83K
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
TECH445d left
38%
25yes40no
54¢
445d left
$80K
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
TECH80d left
55%
12yes10no
41¢
80d left
$65K
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
TECH19d left
43%
23yes30no
89¢
19d left
$63K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
TECH80d left
57%
29yes22no
28¢
80d left
$60K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
37%
27yes46no
40¢
49d left
$60K
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
TECH80d left
54%
14yes12no
54¢
80d left
$59K
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
TECH80d left
43%
10yes13no
34¢
80d left
$57K
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
TECH80d left
53%
10yes9no
40¢
80d left
$52K
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
TECH80d left
60%
9yes6no
64¢
80d left
$49K
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
TECH445d left
23%
9yes30no
20¢
445d left
$48K
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
TECH80d left
35%
8yes15no
14¢
80d left
$45K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
24%
14yes44no
53¢
49d left
$44K
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
TECH445d left
39%
21yes33no
35¢
445d left
$44K
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
TECH80d left
52%
13yes12no
24¢
80d left
$40K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?
TECH2d left
44%
55yes71no
58¢
2d left
$40K
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
TECH80d left
35%
12yes22no
11¢
80d left
$40K
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
TECH80d left
68%
19yes9no
80¢
80d left
$38K
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
TECH80d left
44%
8yes10no
44¢
80d left
$37K
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
TECH80d left
50%
10yes10no
25¢
80d left
$37K
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
TECH80d left
83%
25yes5no
85¢
80d left
$35K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
TECH80d left
33%
9yes18no
32¢
80d left
$34K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
22%
11yes39no
26¢
18d left
$31K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
TECH4d left
52%
40yes37no
69¢
4d left
$31K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?
TECH1d left
38%
24yes40no
33¢
1d left
$30K
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
45%
13yes16no
87¢
18d left
$28K
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?
TECH8d left
32%
9yes19no
81¢
8d left
$28K
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? — Polymarket market icon
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
TECH445d left
18%
6yes27no
16¢
445d left
$24K
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? — Polymarket market icon
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
TECH445d left
21%
8yes30no
83¢
445d left
$23K
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
TECH80d left
38%
5yes8no
15¢
80d left
$20K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
TECH80d left
59%
13yes9no
33¢
80d left
$19K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
24%
8yes26no
73¢
18d left
$19K
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
43%
6yes8no
85¢
49d left
$18K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?
TECH11d left
65%
13yes7no
84¢
11d left
$16K
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
TECH170d left
54%
13yes11no
38¢
170d left
$15K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
TECH80d left
57%
12yes9no
42¢
80d left
$15K
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
67%
12yes6no
87¢
19d left
$15K
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
TECH261d left
85%
11yes2no
89¢
261d left
$14K
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
TECH261d left
47%
7yes8no
69¢
261d left
$14K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?
TECH11d left
35%
7yes13no
11¢
11d left
$14K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
25%
11yes33no
66¢
18d left
$13K
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
TECH80d left
50%
8yes8no
17¢
80d left
$13K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
TECH19d left
38%
17yes28no
68¢
19d left
$11K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
27%
11yes30no
40¢
18d left
$11K
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?
TECH4d left
52%
61yes56no
76¢
4d left
$11K
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
TECH261d left
37%
7yes12no
17¢
261d left
$11K
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
TECH261d left
64%
9yes5no
84¢
261d left
$10K
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
TECH261d left
67%
10yes5no
85¢
261d left
$10K
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
56%
9yes7no
54¢
19d left
$10K
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
TECH261d left
45%
9yes11no
73¢
261d left
$10K
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
TECH261d left
25%
1yes3no
12¢
261d left
$10K
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
TECH18d left
24%
5yes16no
13¢
18d left
$9K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
27%
11yes30no
39¢
49d left
$8K
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
TECH80d left
43%
3yes4no
19¢
80d left
$8K
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
TECH49d left
63%
12yes7no
34¢
49d left
$8K
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
48%
11yes12no
85¢
80d left
$7K
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
14%
2yes12no
77¢
49d left
$7K
Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
31%
5yes11no
13¢
19d left
$7K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
10%
2yes19no
27¢
49d left
$7K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
28%
7yes18no
52¢
49d left
$6K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
0%
0yes6no
37¢
80d left
$6K
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?
TECH1d left
25%
4yes12no
27¢
1d left
$6K
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
TECH49d left
63%
5yes3no
28¢
49d left
$6K
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
62%
8yes5no
72¢
49d left
$6K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
25%
6yes18no
52¢
49d left
$5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?
TECH49d left
50%
8yes8no
33¢
49d left
$5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?
TECH80d left
63%
5yes3no
34¢
80d left
$5K
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?
TECH2d left
47%
17yes19no
60¢
2d left
$4K
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?
TECH7d left
47%
9yes10no
89¢
7d left
$4K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
17%
1yes5no
29¢
80d left
$4K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
54%
7yes6no
54¢
80d left
$4K
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
33%
2yes4no
17¢
19d left
$4K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
20%
1yes4no
24¢
80d left
$3K
Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026?
TECH49d left
50%
3yes3no
70¢
49d left
$3K
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH80d left
13%
1yes7no
21¢
80d left
$3K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
TECH49d left
32%
7yes15no
59¢
49d left
$3K
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
36%
4yes7no
10¢
19d left
$3K
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?
TECH80d left
25%
1yes3no
28¢
80d left
$3K
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
TECH80d left
20%
1yes4no
13¢
80d left
$3K
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?
TECH19d left
25%
2yes6no
25¢
19d left
$2K
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026?
TECH80d left
40%
2yes3no
32¢
80d left
$2K
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?
TECH19d left
14%
1yes6no
16¢
19d left
$2K
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?
TECH80d left
33%
1yes2no
35¢
80d left
$2K
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?
TECH261d left
67%
4yes2no
32¢
261d left
$2K
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
TECH19d left
0%
0yes1no
46¢
19d left
$2K
Showing 100 of 267 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.