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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
51%
103yes100no
59¢
51d left
$600K
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
TECH416d left
54%
33yes28no
49¢
416d left
$548K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
64%
164yes91no
28¢
51d left
$537K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
TECH1147d left
21%
7yes26no
23¢
1147d left
$422K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
TECH782d left
15%
4yes22no
17¢
782d left
$364K
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
TECH51d left
50%
30yes30no
72¢
51d left
$220K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
51%
73yes69no
71¢
20d left
$209K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
30%
30yes71no
28¢
20d left
$206K
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
TECH782d left
26%
6yes17no
17¢
782d left
$138K
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
TECH1147d left
32%
8yes17no
20¢
1147d left
$123K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
47%
31yes35no
13¢
51d left
$109K
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
TECH0d left
52%
60yes56no
87¢
0d left
$90K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
TECH51d left
58%
19yes14no
11¢
51d left
$84K
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
22%
5yes18no
67¢
51d left
$80K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
TECH51d left
65%
15yes8no
11¢
51d left
$74K
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
TECH51d left
68%
13yes6no
81¢
51d left
$74K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
TECH51d left
50%
13yes13no
12¢
51d left
$70K
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
36%
5yes9no
14¢
51d left
$68K
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
TECH51d left
53%
9yes8no
46¢
51d left
$68K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
TECH51d left
23%
5yes17no
11¢
51d left
$62K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
TECH51d left
39%
9yes14no
11¢
51d left
$61K
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
TECH51d left
54%
7yes6no
42¢
51d left
$47K
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
TECH51d left
25%
16yes47no
56¢
51d left
$31K
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
TECH51d left
22%
2yes7no
13¢
51d left
$29K
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
TECH232d left
57%
4yes3no
75¢
232d left
$25K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
TECH51d left
38%
5yes8no
14¢
51d left
$24K
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
TECH141d left
53%
8yes7no
33¢
141d left
$23K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
TECH51d left
73%
8yes3no
14¢
51d left
$23K
Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?
TECH0d left
56%
25yes20no
85¢
0d left
$20K
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
41%
9yes13no
10¢
20d left
$19K
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
TECH51d left
64%
7yes4no
36¢
51d left
$18K
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
53%
9yes8no
83¢
51d left
$18K
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
45%
17yes21no
87¢
20d left
$16K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
25%
10yes30no
25¢
20d left
$16K
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
43%
9yes12no
90¢
20d left
$16K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
67%
6yes3no
17¢
51d left
$15K
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
23%
7yes24no
35¢
20d left
$15K
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
TECH232d left
57%
4yes3no
67¢
232d left
$15K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
11%
1yes8no
53¢
51d left
$15K
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
23%
5yes17no
30¢
20d left
$15K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
28%
7yes18no
62¢
20d left
$15K
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?
TECH232d left
0%
0yes6no
48¢
232d left
$14K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
19%
7yes29no
46¢
20d left
$14K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
21%
7yes27no
73¢
20d left
$14K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
8%
2yes22no
35¢
20d left
$14K
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
TECH51d left
25%
1yes3no
11¢
51d left
$13K
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
17%
4yes20no
25¢
20d left
$13K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
29%
5yes12no
41¢
51d left
$13K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
17%
4yes19no
16¢
20d left
$13K
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
TECH20d left
24%
6yes19no
23¢
20d left
$13K
Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Claude Opus released by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
56%
5yes4no
53¢
20d left
$12K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
17%
1yes5no
35¢
51d left
$12K
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
29%
5yes12no
46¢
20d left
$11K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
31%
4yes9no
47¢
20d left
$11K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
0%
0yes20no
14¢
20d left
$10K
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
63%
10yes6no
88¢
20d left
$10K
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
0%
0yes13no
12¢
51d left
$10K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
8%
1yes12no
27¢
51d left
$10K
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
TECH51d left
0%
0yes10no
18¢
51d left
$10K
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
35%
6yes11no
38¢
51d left
$9K
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
TECH232d left
50%
3yes3no
53¢
232d left
$9K
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
TECH232d left
50%
3yes3no
21¢
232d left
$8K
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
32%
7yes15no
38¢
20d left
$8K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
22%
6yes21no
74¢
20d left
$8K
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
29%
5yes12no
41¢
51d left
$8K
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
30%
6yes14no
27¢
20d left
$8K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
10%
1yes9no
17¢
51d left
$8K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
46%
6yes7no
59¢
51d left
$7K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
60%
3yes2no
30¢
82d left
$6K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
38%
5yes8no
33¢
51d left
$6K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
60%
3yes2no
51¢
82d left
$6K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
27%
3yes8no
41¢
51d left
$5K
Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
80%
4yes1no
39¢
51d left
$5K
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
69%
11yes5no
63¢
20d left
$5K
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
16%
3yes16no
78¢
51d left
$5K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
25%
2yes6no
81¢
51d left
$4K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?
TECH20d left
27%
3yes8no
33¢
20d left
$4K
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
25%
2yes6no
38¢
82d left
$4K
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $18m and $21m at auction? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $18m and $21m at auction?
TECH8d left
25%
2yes6no
23¢
8d left
$4K
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?
TECH20d left
0%
0yes6no
51¢
20d left
$3K
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
33%
4yes8no
60¢
82d left
$3K
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
20%
2yes8no
36¢
20d left
$3K
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?
TECH82d left
0%
0yes2no
34¢
82d left
$3K
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?
TECH82d left
17%
1yes5no
23¢
82d left
$3K
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026?
TECH6d left
50%
3yes3no
82¢
6d left
$3K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
38%
3yes5no
14¢
51d left
$3K
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
14%
1yes6no
23¢
82d left
$3K
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30?
TECH20d left
14%
1yes6no
35¢
20d left
$3K
Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?
TECH51d left
67%
2yes1no
48¢
51d left
$3K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
8%
1yes11no
33¢
82d left
$2K
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
0%
0yes6no
19¢
82d left
$2K
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?
TECH51d left
13%
1yes7no
72¢
51d left
$2K
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
33%
2yes4no
42¢
82d left
$2K
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
TECH20d left
0%
0yes1no
23¢
20d left
$2K
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $21m and $24m at auction? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $21m and $24m at auction?
TECH8d left
22%
2yes7no
19¢
8d left
$2K
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026?
TECH20d left
14%
1yes6no
35¢
20d left
$2K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
17%
1yes5no
42¢
82d left
$2K
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?
TECH82d left
25%
2yes6no
36¢
82d left
$2K
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for at least $24m at auction? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for at least $24m at auction?
TECH8d left
25%
2yes6no
24¢
8d left
$2K
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $15m and $18m at auction? — Polymarket market icon
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $15m and $18m at auction?
TECH8d left
38%
3yes5no
27¢
8d left
$1K
Showing 100 of 211 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.