OrbitSugarFree · Polymarket wallet 0x890d…15ac

Wallet snapshot

OrbitSugarFree has made 2,468 trades on Polymarket across 75 markets, $782K in volume. Most of it is in economics (29%) and geopolitics (28%). On 53 resolved markets the win rate is 86.8%, lifetime P&L +$2,675. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $7,184 · 88¢ → 83¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No · $668 · 84¢ → 95¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?No · $532 · 90¢ → 89¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?No · $524 · 83¢ → 93¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $386 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No · $377 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $333 · 81¢ → 67¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $281 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Natural Disaster in 2026?No · $204 · 91¢ → 94¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No · $196 · 98¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · +$61 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?No · +$1 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$4,842 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$4,275 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$5,398 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5,734 · Oct 21, 2026

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