YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$51.1K
1,101 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 194 traders
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4 MARKETS · $160.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027
57¢−7¢$37.4K16/16Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027−7¢57¢
$37.4K16/16
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027
36¢+12¢$41.6K12/13Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027+12¢36¢
$41.6K12/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs14 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$82+3 new NO$418
$54 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.1K is directional: YES $336·NO $6.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$923(-66.9%)
Whales
11
P
podairpod🥇hedged
Entry 101¢·483.5 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$487
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-419
$-419INV $487 · WR 59.2%
V
Vagabund97🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·588.4 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$478
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-396
$-396INV $478 · WR 66.8%
D
delphilo🥉
Entry 28¢·711.1 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $197 · WR 56.0%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 23¢·300 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $69 · WR 63.1%
H
hithitfar
Entry 57¢·69.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $39 · WR 59.5%
P
PNP
Entry 15¢·220 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $32 · WR 55.4%
M
MiaoAlpha
Entry 15¢·172 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 69.7%
H
HDGBhedged
Entry 13¢·209.7 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 83.3%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 97¢·9.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 68.6%
T
tinman2
Entry 14¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 66.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+16.6%)
Whales
14
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 86¢·3,490.8 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $3.0K · WR 77.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 83¢·3,113.6 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $2.6K · WR 57.6%
O
OrbitSugarFree🥉
Entry 85¢·702.4 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $596 · WR 84.8%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 85¢·665 shares
Invested
$565
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $565 · WR 91.0%
H
HDGBhedged
Entry 54¢·213.8 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $115 · WR 83.3%
V
Vagabund97hedged
Entry 9¢·838.3 shares·also $478 on YES
Invested
$74
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$647
+$647INV $74 · WR 66.8%
P
podairpodhedged
Entry 14¢·483.5 shares·also $487 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$348
+$348INV $68 · WR 59.2%
C
commeowder◆Proven
Entry 96¢·39 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $37 · WR 69.4%
H
hitunfar
Entry 46¢·78.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $37 · WR 60.9%
T
These-Conflict
Entry 77¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 84.5%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
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