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Politics

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.61M
21,850 trades
Smart Whales
268
of 7,157 traders · 3 on both sides

Berlin State Election Winner

13 MARKETS · $5.77M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

86 YESvs185 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 47 YES vs 86 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+54 new YES$758+71 new NO$39.8K
$160 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$66 of $53.7K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $12.4K·NO $41.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$17.2K
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.7K(-85.8%)
Whales
86
D
DerDon🥇
Entry 19¢·38,969.3 shares
$-7342INV $7.4K · WR 56.6%
C
Careful-Bunch🥈hedged
Entry 101¢·2,371.7 shares·also $199 on NO
$-2403INV $2.4K · WR 55.3%
O
occasionalAwareness🥉
Entry 23¢·5,583.5 shares
$-1252INV $1.3K · WR 63.4%
Z
z0vulon
Entry 22¢·4,851.9 shares
$-1067INV $1.1K · WR 60.5%
C
ChasingPaper
Entry 14¢·4,112.5 shares
$-561INV $565 · WR 65.6%
2
252
Entry 17¢·2,000 shares
$-330INV $332 · WR 68.7%
R
Railcool
Entry 10¢·3,241.5 shares
$-315INV $319 · WR 58.8%
G
Gl4d
Entry 18¢·1,212.9 shares
$-211INV $212 · WR 63.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 4¢·4,019.1 shares
$-163INV $167 · WR 87.7%
R
Rr55
Entry 10¢·1,700 shares
$-160INV $162 · WR 73.8%
Showing top 10 of 86

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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