Geopolitics80 days left
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$74.8K
1,393 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 250 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $894.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs24 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$293+9 new NO$4.7K
$105 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $173·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-71.7%)
Whales
12
K
Ko-san-123🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·1,623.3 shares·also $229 on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-1345
$-1345INV $1.6K · WR 82.6%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·1,521.7 shares·also $279 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-1069
$-1069INV $1.3K · WR 58.7%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 114¢·751.4 shares·also $389 on NO
Invested
$858
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-761
$-761INV $858 · WR 65.8%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 84¢·855.2 shares·also $233 on NO
Invested
$722
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-611
$-611INV $722 · WR 86.8%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 8¢·4,123.2 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$315
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$221
+$221INV $315 · WR 69.6%
1
123f18hedged
Entry 88¢·259.6 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$228
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $228 · WR 90.9%
1
101456
Entry 14¢·1,237.1 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $173 · WR 55.9%
C
chicanery.hedged
Entry 41¢·132.5 shares·also $110 on NO
Invested
$54
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $54 · WR 58.8%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 10¢·438 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$46
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $46 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 9 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+55.0%)
Whales
24
M
melonmanm🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·2,721.2 shares·also $315 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$298
+$298INV $2.1K · WR 69.6%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven🥈
Entry 87¢·1,136.9 shares
Invested
$988
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $988 · WR 65.5%
A
adenakoz1🥉
Entry 78¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$778
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $778 · WR 56.6%
0
0VLYp
Entry 75¢·805.5 shares
Invested
$603
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $603 · WR 78.0%
V
viniihedged
Entry 49¢·796.3 shares·also $858 on YES
Invested
$389
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$304
+$304INV $389 · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 86¢·433.5 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $373 · WR 57.7%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 82¢·438 shares·also $46 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $358 · WR 60.4%
H
Hellboy-winner
Entry 88¢·400 shares
Invested
$352
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $352 · WR 79.5%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 73¢·404.5 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $295 · WR 63.4%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 19¢·1,454.2 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$279
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$986
+$986INV $279 · WR 58.7%
Showing top 10 of 24
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