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Geopolitics67 days left

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$64.7K
1,002 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 229 traders

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 MARKETS · $1.41M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs15 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$15+3 new NO$85
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $1·NO $2.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-90.5%)
Whales
10
2
2dd3🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·1,101.1 shares·also $132 on NO
$-884INV $983 · WR 84.6%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 130¢·736.9 shares·also $279 on NO
$-895INV $961 · WR 65.8%
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥉hedged
Entry 115¢·517.8 shares·also $66 on NO
$-550INV $596 · WR 60.5%
T
TronOGhedged
Entry 110¢·226 shares·also $13 on NO
$-229INV $249 · WR 78.1%
Z
Zenith-Nadirhedged
Entry 138¢·48.9 shares·also $30 on NO
$-63INV $68 · WR 60.7%
M
Measly-Toothbrush
Entry 89¢·50 shares
$-40INV $45 · WR 57.1%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 12¢·337 shares·also $321 on NO
$-10INV $40 · WR 69.9%
W
wisechinamanhedged
Entry 6¢·91.2 shares·also $85 on NO
+$3INV $6 · WR 58.4%
D
0xd8c208fe...
Entry 40¢·9.5 shares
$-3INV $4 · WR 75.7%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 9¢·10 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran…