Geopolitics76 days left
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$19.4K
720 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 126 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.07M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs11 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%
+1 new YES$47+1 new NO$100
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$764(-40.3%)
Whales
14
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 52¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $524 · WR 57.6%
P
paddaa🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·608.1 shares·also $358 on NO
Invested
$427
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $427 · WR 60.9%
C
Car🥉
Entry 53¢·760 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $405 · WR 65.0%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 72¢·375 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$268
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $268 · WR 76.9%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 39¢·200 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $79 · WR 74.2%
S
SakuraDevil
Entry 42¢·127.6 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $53 · WR 72.2%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 54¢·84 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $45 · WR 64.7%
Q
Quarrelsome-Technologist
Entry 51¢·50 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $26 · WR 60.0%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 58¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $23 · WR 69.6%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 50¢·30.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+1.4%)
Whales
11
E
Extroverted-Development🥇
Entry 58¢·2,590.2 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $1.5K · WR 59.7%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 71¢·1,043.2 shares
Invested
$739
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $739 · WR 65.8%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥉
Entry 92¢·528 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $488 · WR 60.4%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 59¢·608.1 shares·also $427 on YES
Invested
$358
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $358 · WR 60.9%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 54¢·370 shares·also $268 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $200 · WR 76.9%
A
adasol
Entry 52¢·292.1 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $153 · WR 67.2%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 61¢·233.7 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $143 · WR 63.4%
T
trashtier
Entry 56¢·100 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $57 · WR 63.2%
P
Paulymarketerhedged
Entry 44¢·38.3 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $17 · WR 66.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 52¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 11
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