Geopolitics79 days left
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$25.1K
608 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 139 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $899.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-95.1%)
Whales
3
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 102¢·815.8 shares·also $151 on NO
Invested
$833
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-792
$-792INV $833 · WR 65.8%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 104¢·493 shares·also $233 on NO
Invested
$515
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-490
$-490INV $515 · WR 86.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·15 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+100.6%)
Whales
12
C
Car🥇
Entry 94¢·860.8 shares
Invested
$810
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $810 · WR 64.9%
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven🥈
Entry 94¢·400 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $376 · WR 79.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥉
Entry 94¢·300 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $282 · WR 74.2%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 33¢·701.3 shares·also $515 on YES
Invested
$233
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$434
+$434INV $233 · WR 86.8%
V
viniihedged
Entry 8¢·1,819.5 shares·also $833 on YES
Invested
$151
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1577
+$1577INV $151 · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 93¢·156 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $145 · WR 57.7%
M
mad4x
Entry 94¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 57.0%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 63¢·15 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 56.3%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 35¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9 · WR 66.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 96¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 55.4%
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