Geopolitics80 days left
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$127.8K
1,082 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 217 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $894.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs20 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.9K is directional: YES $97·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-76.9%)
Whales
11
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 120¢·1,833.8 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1764
$-1764INV $2.2K · WR 65.8%
L
laureman🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·602.6 shares·also $114 on NO
Invested
$487
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-345
$-345INV $487 · WR 91.4%
0
0VLYp🥉hedged
Entry 127¢·134.3 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$170
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $170 · WR 78.0%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 84¢·185 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$156
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $156 · WR 55.4%
N
noibhedged
Entry 150¢·85.3 shares·also $82 on NO
Invested
$128
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $128 · WR 57.7%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 158¢·62.1 shares·also $63 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $98 · WR 58.7%
S
SakuraDevil
Entry 25¢·388.3 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $97 · WR 72.2%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 167¢·15.4 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $26 · WR 57.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 70¢·8.8 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 68.4%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 26¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 65.0%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$810(+18.2%)
Whales
20
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 79¢·3,176.6 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $2.5K · WR 57.7%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·1,843.8 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$282
+$282INV $1.1K · WR 65.8%
P
PABLOESCOBAR25🥉
Entry 75¢·168.9 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $127 · WR 61.0%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 19¢·602.6 shares·also $487 on YES
Invested
$114
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $114 · WR 91.4%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 27¢·395 shares·also $156 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $107 · WR 55.4%
N
noibhedged
Entry 96¢·85.3 shares·also $128 on YES
Invested
$82
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $82 · WR 57.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 80¢·100 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $80 · WR 74.2%
0
0VLYphedged
Entry 56¢·134.3 shares·also $170 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $75 · WR 78.0%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 63¢·99.6 shares·also $98 on YES
Invested
$63
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $63 · WR 58.7%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 51¢·103.2 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$53
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $53 · WR 57.2%
Showing top 10 of 20
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