Geopolitics76 days left
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$15.5K
666 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 115 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.07M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs14 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$5+3 new NO$69
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-44.5%)
Whales
15
C
Capital-Endoderm🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·817.7 shares·also $630 on NO
Invested
$607
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-345
$-345INV $607 · WR 60.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 53¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-210
$-210INV $530 · WR 57.6%
C
Car🥉
Entry 52¢·928 shares
Invested
$480
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-179
$-179INV $480 · WR 65.0%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 70¢·561.7 shares·also $342 on NO
Invested
$394
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-214
$-214INV $394 · WR 60.9%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 52¢·158 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $82 · WR 64.7%
S
SakuraDevil
Entry 41¢·185 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $75 · WR 72.2%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 58¢·125.1 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $72 · WR 76.9%
P
Paulymarketerhedged
Entry 65¢·60 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $39 · WR 66.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 57¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $23 · WR 69.6%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 47¢·30 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$515(+15.6%)
Whales
14
E
Extroverted-Development🥇
Entry 58¢·2,328.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $1.3K · WR 59.7%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·1,160.3 shares·also $607 on YES
Invested
$630
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $630 · WR 60.4%
P
paddaa🥉hedged
Entry 61¢·562.9 shares·also $394 on YES
Invested
$342
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $342 · WR 60.9%
A
adasol
Entry 53¢·380 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $200 · WR 67.2%
C
cookedquail
Entry 51¢·390.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $199 · WR 57.7%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 51¢·350 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $179 · WR 64.3%
V
vinii
Entry 57¢·220.2 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $125 · WR 65.8%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 76¢·140.1 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $107 · WR 76.9%
M
Majas
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $53 · WR 66.5%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 62¢·73.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $45 · WR 63.4%
Showing top 10 of 14
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