Geopolitics78 days left
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$66.7K
1,355 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 253 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $988.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$996+22 new NO$1.7K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $2·NO $3.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-79.4%)
Whales
8
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·2,106.2 shares·also $781 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-1399
$-1399INV $1.8K · WR 86.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈hedged
Entry 110¢·96.8 shares·also $41 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $106 · WR 58.7%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 117¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 56.5%
I
IgnoredInMostRoomshedged
Entry 301¢·2.9 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 63.8%
T
Talkative-Wormhedged
Entry 144¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 69.4%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 34¢·10 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 70.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 19¢·11.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
1
0x18283a8c...hedged
Entry 86¢·1.2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+31.5%)
Whales
15
V
vinii🥇
Entry 79¢·1,922.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $1.5K · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 86¢·1,657.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $1.4K · WR 57.6%
P
poljdnn17🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·2,086.2 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$781
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$941
+$941INV $781 · WR 86.8%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 88¢·200 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $176 · WR 74.2%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 18¢·228.9 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$41
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $41 · WR 58.7%
K
KG008
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 77.4%
K
Konfucious
Entry 29¢·70 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $20 · WR 62.1%
Y
yellowhp
Entry 7¢·151 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $11 · WR 69.8%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 74¢·10 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 70.4%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 53¢·10 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 56.5%
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