Geopolitics116 days left
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$9.2K
191 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 73 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $234 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $26·NO $201YES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-35.3%)
Whales
6
S
southparker🥇
Entry 34¢·40 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 64.7%
N
Nowayfolding🥈
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 63.7%
G
ghorrock🥉hedged
Entry 33¢·36.5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 57.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 61¢·16.9 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 57.1%
S
spacexstar
Entry 31¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 66.7%
T
trrr12hedged
Entry 55¢·2.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 62.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$245
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+31.7%)
Whales
6
F
FishermansFiend🥇
Entry 54¢·370 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $200 · WR 73.2%
M
maomao228🥈
Entry 70¢·49.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $35 · WR 63.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...🥉hedged
Entry 27¢·16.9 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5 · WR 57.1%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 65¢·5 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.8%
T
trrr12hedged
Entry 49¢·2.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 62.5%
H
hspje89
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 170ms