Geopolitics116 days left
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$26.2K
461 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 118 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs4 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $320 is directional: YES $300·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-16.1%)
Whales
8
V
vinii🥇
Entry 33¢·421.6 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $137 · WR 65.5%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥈
Entry 31¢·256 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $79 · WR 61.2%
T
Toncar16🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·135 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $74 · WR 57.8%
G
ghorrock
Entry 37¢·126.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $47 · WR 57.8%
A
adasol
Entry 67¢·37.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $25 · WR 67.6%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 41¢·40 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $16 · WR 66.3%
S
spacexstar
Entry 35¢·32.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 66.7%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 51¢·21.3 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 63.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+33.9%)
Whales
4
M
maomao228🥇hedged
Entry 64¢·111.3 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$72
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $72 · WR 63.8%
T
Toncar16🥈hedged
Entry 43¢·135 shares·also $74 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $58 · WR 57.8%
P
Peter.YF🥉
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 55.5%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 32¢·40 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $13 · WR 66.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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