Geopolitics80 days left
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$35.5K
697 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 143 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $894.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$24+11 new NO$670
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $25·NO $2.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$758
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$710(-93.6%)
Whales
5
G
greatbritain🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·518.8 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$486
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-464
$-464INV $486 · WR 56.2%
K
Ko-san-123🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·264 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$247
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-235
$-235INV $247 · WR 82.6%
1
101456🥉
Entry 9¢·260.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $23 · WR 55.9%
D
0xd8c208fe...hedged
Entry 88¢·1.6 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 73.9%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 5¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+52.1%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇
Entry 89¢·2,157.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $1.9K · WR 65.8%
R
romeinzc🥈
Entry 90¢·257 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $231 · WR 75.9%
T
TronOG🥉
Entry 24¢·504.9 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
+$363
+$363INV $121 · WR 78.1%
K
Ko-san-123hedged
Entry 14¢·264 shares·also $247 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$215
+$215INV $38 · WR 82.6%
K
KG008
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 77.4%
G
greatbritainhedged
Entry 1¢·518.8 shares·also $486 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$489
+$489INV $8 · WR 56.2%
P
PAntipov
Entry 94¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
D
0xd8c208fe...hedged
Entry 7¢·1.6 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 73.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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