Geopolitics76 days left
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$97.3K
538 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 128 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.07M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$29+4 new NO$153
$46 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $716 is directional: YES $28·NO $688YES Team
Total Invested
$608
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$418(-68.9%)
Whales
4
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·583.1 shares·also $730 on NO
Invested
$550
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-410
$-410INV $550 · WR 65.8%
S
sbimbg🥈
Entry 28¢·100 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 72.2%
T
Te0n2🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·100 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 66.9%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 29¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 90.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$274(+15.5%)
Whales
11
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·1,330.5 shares·also $550 on YES
Invested
$730
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $730 · WR 65.8%
C
chicanery.🥈
Entry 64¢·480 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $309 · WR 61.7%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥉
Entry 124¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $279 · WR 60.4%
K
Konfucious
Entry 72¢·250 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $180 · WR 62.2%
A
adasol
Entry 68¢·168.6 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $114 · WR 67.2%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 54¢·130.3 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $71 · WR 59.7%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 60¢·100 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $60 · WR 66.9%
H
Hermann2017
Entry 72¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 56.8%
P
Paulymarketer
Entry 52¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 66.9%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 71¢·5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 90.8%
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