Geopolitics70 days left
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$79.6K
1,858 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 290 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.32M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs20 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$140+10 new NO$1.5K
$58 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $12·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$894(-70.8%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 33¢·1,938.2 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$642
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-390
$-390INV $642 · WR 65.8%
2
2fef2🥈hedged
Entry 86¢·300.7 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$257
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $257 · WR 82.4%
1
123f18🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·164.4 shares·also $158 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $163 · WR 92.0%
7
0x7f6d3eb8...hedged
Entry 89¢·110 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $98 · WR 55.2%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 28¢·211.4 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $60 · WR 58.3%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...hedged
Entry 106¢·15 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $16 · WR 55.7%
L
Lolakis
Entry 88¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 61.8%
O
One-Eyed.Jack
Entry 30¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $12 · WR 64.9%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 5¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 64.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+75.6%)
Whales
20
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 83¢·1,571.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $1.3K · WR 61.0%
D
Defenseless-Placement🥈
Entry 88¢·287.5 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $253 · WR 89.3%
C
Car🥉
Entry 79¢·240 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $190 · WR 65.0%
1
123f18hedged
Entry 77¢·204.4 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$158
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $158 · WR 92.0%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 39¢·380.7 shares·also $257 on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$182
+$182INV $150 · WR 82.4%
C
CT-test
Entry 82¢·156.9 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $129 · WR 61.7%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 78¢·78.7 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $61 · WR 65.3%
V
viniihedged
Entry 3¢·1,411 shares·also $642 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1192
+$1192INV $36 · WR 65.8%
S
StupidMonkeyyyhedged
Entry 11¢·211.4 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $24 · WR 58.3%
7
0x7f6d3eb8...hedged
Entry 17¢·110.1 shares·also $98 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $18 · WR 55.2%
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