Tech/AI81 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$36.6K
1,317 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 178 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $730.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
78¢−10¢$37.8K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−10¢78¢
$37.8K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
42¢+13¢$64.6K12/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+13¢42¢
$64.6K12/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
24¢+28¢$40.4K13/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+28¢24¢
$40.4K13/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
14¢+28¢$8.6K5/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+28¢14¢
$8.6K5/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
77¢−36¢$33.3K7/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−36¢77¢
$33.3K7/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−12¢$33.9K3/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−12¢39¢
$33.9K3/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
11¢+25¢$12.8K4/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+25¢11¢
$12.8K4/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+24¢$4.8K2/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+24¢5¢
$4.8K2/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
64¢−10¢$59.3K14/12by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−10¢64¢
$59.3K14/12
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
44¢0¢$37.1K8/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢44¢
$37.1K8/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
26¢+24¢$36.6K10/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←+24¢26¢
$36.6K10/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
15¢+23¢$20.3K5/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢15¢
$20.3K5/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
3¢+40¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+40¢3¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
41¢+12¢$51.8K10/9by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+12¢41¢
$51.8K10/9
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
21¢+18¢$19.6K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢21¢
$19.6K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+51¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+51¢5¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
81¢−22¢$38.0K13/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−22¢81¢
$38.0K13/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
39¢+14¢$52.3K10/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+14¢39¢
$52.3K10/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
24¢+3¢$20.5K4/11by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+3¢24¢
$20.5K4/11
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
7¢+13¢$6.0K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+13¢7¢
$6.0K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
97¢−39¢$35.7K15/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−39¢97¢
$35.7K15/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
65¢−5¢$48.6K9/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−5¢65¢
$48.6K9/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
36¢+9¢$19.5K9/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢36¢
$19.5K9/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs10 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%
+2 new YES$19+2 new NO$51
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $441 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $438YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$892(-74.7%)
Whales
10
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 108¢·862.5 shares·also $491 on NO
Invested
$931
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-706
$-706INV $931 · WR 57.2%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 210¢·56.3 shares·also $98 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $118 · WR 56.1%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 117¢·61.5 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $72 · WR 77.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 122¢·21.7 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $26 · WR 65.8%
H
hitunfar
Entry 24¢·94.9 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 61.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 95¢·14.7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 68.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 65¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 68.9%
G
gajistan
Entry 9¢·34.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 70.8%
D
Demanding-Breakthroughhedged
Entry 22¢·7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.9%
B
big-bird
Entry 50¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$354(+31.1%)
Whales
10
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·889.5 shares·also $931 on YES
Invested
$491
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$167
+$167INV $491 · WR 57.2%
D
dedidanc◆Proven🥈
Entry 78¢·295 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $229 · WR 62.1%
I
iutwpfal🥉
Entry 66¢·228 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $150 · WR 74.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 33¢·296.9 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$98
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $98 · WR 56.1%
O
Olcan
Entry 69¢·84.6 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $59 · WR 76.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 69¢·71.5 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $49 · WR 77.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 169¢·21.7 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $37 · WR 65.8%
H
hithitfar
Entry 22¢·94.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $21 · WR 59.7%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 30¢·14.7 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 68.4%
D
Demanding-Breakthroughhedged
Entry 70¢·1.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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