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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
35%
673yes1223no
18¢
80d left
$73.5M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
48%
359yes389no
14¢
80d left
$14.6M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
39%
389yes615no
31¢
15d left
$7.0M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS79d left
55%
401yes333no
88¢
79d left
$6.7M
US strike on Cuba by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
47%
266yes299no
11¢
80d left
$5.4M
Iran leadership change by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
44%
239yes300no
11¢
80d left
$5.1M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
36%
217yes387no
14¢
19d left
$4.5M
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
36%
125yes224no
16¢
15d left
$3.7M
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS445d left
35%
90yes168no
11¢
445d left
$3.5M
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
45%
372yes457no
71¢
80d left
$3.4M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
56%
309yes243no
44¢
80d left
$3.2M
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
56%
290yes229no
45¢
15d left
$2.9M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
49%
190yes201no
18¢
80d left
$2.8M
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
47%
255yes282no
41¢
80d left
$2.7M
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
37%
224yes382no
24¢
80d left
$2.6M
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
57%
509yes385no
24¢
80d left
$2.3M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
64%
190yes105no
79¢
19d left
$2.2M
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
45%
108yes131no
12¢
80d left
$1.9M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
67%
173yes86no
86¢
19d left
$1.8M
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
44%
124yes156no
11¢
80d left
$1.7M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
39%
104yes162no
17¢
80d left
$1.6M
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
45%
85yes104no
16¢
80d left
$1.0M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
56%
116yes91no
56¢
80d left
$1.0M
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
48%
77yes85no
19¢
80d left
$655K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
60%
49yes32no
61¢
49d left
$541K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
24%
38yes118no
28¢
80d left
$532K
Will Trump and Putin not meet? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
41%
94yes133no
19¢
80d left
$493K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
44%
57yes73no
44¢
49d left
$457K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
45%
65yes78no
14¢
19d left
$439K
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
48%
67yes74no
29¢
80d left
$435K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
47%
55yes62no
35¢
80d left
$432K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
55%
102yes82no
55¢
80d left
$345K
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
34%
33yes64no
36¢
80d left
$317K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
48%
81yes89no
18¢
80d left
$308K
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
15%
12yes70no
11¢
80d left
$298K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
36%
56yes100no
20¢
19d left
$295K
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
50%
93yes93no
77¢
80d left
$277K
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
46%
27yes32no
14¢
80d left
$222K
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
58%
106yes77no
81¢
80d left
$201K
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS81d left
42%
68yes93no
20¢
81d left
$200K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
GEOPOLITICS19d left
39%
52yes83no
13¢
19d left
$198K
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
46%
42yes49no
14¢
80d left
$182K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
34%
27yes52no
24¢
80d left
$165K
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
GEOPOLITICS22d left
56%
29yes23no
76¢
22d left
$158K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
49%
43yes44no
42¢
80d left
$157K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
45%
42yes52no
11¢
80d left
$157K
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
44%
51yes66no
23¢
19d left
$156K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
42%
38yes52no
24¢
19d left
$142K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
49%
21yes22no
75¢
34d left
$124K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
GEOPOLITICS34d left
50%
37yes37no
60¢
34d left
$117K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
43%
41yes54no
32¢
49d left
$111K
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
34%
13yes25no
24¢
80d left
$110K
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
50%
51yes52no
30¢
19d left
$104K
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
34%
24yes46no
25¢
80d left
$102K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
39%
23yes36no
13¢
19d left
$100K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
49%
37yes39no
32¢
80d left
$96K
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
65%
45yes24no
80¢
19d left
$86K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
58%
39yes28no
52¢
80d left
$84K
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
50%
28yes28no
22¢
80d left
$72K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS111d left
40%
25yes37no
23¢
111d left
$71K
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
32%
17yes36no
61¢
80d left
$69K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
43%
35yes46no
40¢
49d left
$64K
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
31%
9yes20no
21¢
80d left
$60K
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
31%
19yes42no
50¢
80d left
$58K
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
58%
15yes11no
20¢
80d left
$53K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
27%
15yes41no
10¢
49d left
$52K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS445d left
56%
22yes17no
67¢
445d left
$48K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS170d left
50%
28yes28no
66¢
170d left
$47K
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15? — Polymarket market icon
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
25%
1yes3no
60¢
3d left
$46K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS261d left
64%
7yes4no
61¢
261d left
$46K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? — Polymarket market icon
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
44%
23yes29no
12¢
3d left
$43K
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS261d left
46%
6yes7no
19¢
261d left
$38K
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
50%
17yes17no
37¢
19d left
$36K
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
41%
23yes33no
90¢
8d left
$34K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
56%
20yes16no
36¢
80d left
$31K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
53%
17yes15no
31¢
49d left
$30K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
46%
13yes15no
41¢
80d left
$30K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
48%
13yes14no
30¢
49d left
$30K
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
43%
9yes12no
15¢
19d left
$29K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
100%
3yes0no
53¢
8d left
$28K
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
50%
11yes11no
50¢
19d left
$28K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS2d left
57%
4yes3no
52¢
2d left
$28K
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? — Polymarket market icon
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
26%
10yes28no
31¢
80d left
$28K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
50%
2yes2no
37¢
4d left
$27K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
45%
17yes21no
24¢
49d left
$26K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
0%
0yes2no
54¢
5d left
$24K
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
33%
4yes8no
13¢
19d left
$20K
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
35%
9yes17no
28¢
80d left
$20K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS9d left
50%
0yes0no
55¢
9d left
$19K
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS139d left
32%
7yes15no
33¢
139d left
$18K
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS139d left
27%
4yes11no
38¢
139d left
$17K
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
60%
12yes8no
66¢
49d left
$16K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS49d left
42%
16yes22no
48¢
49d left
$15K
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
31%
5yes11no
60¢
19d left
$14K
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS80d left
15%
2yes11no
25¢
80d left
$13K
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS139d left
25%
3yes9no
35¢
139d left
$12K
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China? — Polymarket market icon
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
GEOPOLITICS6d left
67%
2yes1no
31¢
6d left
$12K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS6d left
0%
0yes2no
53¢
6d left
$12K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS170d left
53%
8yes7no
38¢
170d left
$12K
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
22%
2yes7no
48¢
3d left
$9K
Showing 100 of 566 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.