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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
37%
661yes1138no
14¢
97d left
$68.9M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
50%
348yes355no
28¢
97d left
$13.0M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS95d left
55%
392yes315no
88¢
95d left
$6.6M
US strike on Cuba by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
46%
255yes299no
17¢
97d left
$5.2M
Iran leadership change by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
45%
235yes290no
11¢
97d left
$4.8M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS31d left
42%
329yes450no
30¢
31d left
$4.4M
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
345yes441no
60¢
97d left
$3.3M
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS462d left
35%
85yes161no
12¢
462d left
$3.2M
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS31d left
45%
133yes160no
11¢
31d left
$3.2M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
50%
183yes182no
23¢
97d left
$2.7M
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
49%
261yes271no
46¢
97d left
$2.6M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
57%
278yes212no
64¢
97d left
$2.4M
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS31d left
53%
241yes210no
52¢
31d left
$2.3M
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
35%
193yes366no
30¢
97d left
$2.3M
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
58%
506yes367no
35¢
97d left
$2.2M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
44%
200yes257no
37¢
36d left
$2.2M
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
43%
89yes116no
12¢
97d left
$1.8M
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
46%
127yes151no
19¢
97d left
$1.7M
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
34%
38yes73no
77¢
97d left
$1.4M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
99yes128no
19¢
97d left
$1.2M
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
28%
115yes295no
17¢
36d left
$1.1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
33%
70yes141no
11¢
36d left
$966K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
71%
133yes55no
88¢
4d left
$954K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
42%
80yes110no
27¢
97d left
$933K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
GEOPOLITICS35d left
59%
91yes63no
85¢
35d left
$885K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS96d left
56%
90yes71no
70¢
96d left
$742K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
50%
191yes191no
22¢
5d left
$726K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
49%
112yes117no
13¢
36d left
$561K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
GEOPOLITICS35d left
60%
64yes42no
57¢
35d left
$533K
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS278d left
44%
52yes66no
12¢
278d left
$495K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
27%
36yes95no
27¢
97d left
$484K
Will Trump and Putin not meet? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
91yes118no
22¢
97d left
$462K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
GEOPOLITICS65d left
60%
38yes25no
77¢
65d left
$451K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS66d left
41%
43yes62no
18¢
66d left
$429K
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS122d left
48%
55yes59no
24¢
122d left
$348K
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS278d left
61%
51yes32no
23¢
278d left
$335K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
64%
67yes38no
67¢
36d left
$331K
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS128d left
28%
20yes51no
74¢
128d left
$329K
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
46%
45yes52no
84¢
97d left
$328K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
56%
89yes69no
68¢
97d left
$306K
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
31%
22yes50no
16¢
97d left
$282K
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
22%
16yes58no
18¢
97d left
$280K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
41%
58yes83no
24¢
97d left
$271K
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
45%
34yes41no
13¢
97d left
$261K
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
45%
36yes44no
40¢
97d left
$258K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS35d left
54%
46yes39no
36¢
35d left
$248K
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
43%
20yes26no
15¢
97d left
$208K
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
69yes89no
71¢
97d left
$204K
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
50%
25yes25no
15¢
97d left
$194K
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
22%
15yes53no
12¢
97d left
$180K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
40%
38yes57no
13¢
36d left
$180K
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
64%
104yes59no
79¢
97d left
$178K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS187d left
60%
38yes25no
39¢
187d left
$166K
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS98d left
44%
66yes84no
22¢
98d left
$166K
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
47%
24yes27no
15¢
97d left
$160K
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
40%
19yes28no
14¢
97d left
$152K
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
48%
42yes46no
36¢
97d left
$148K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
GEOPOLITICS65d left
48%
29yes32no
48¢
65d left
$147K
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
34yes43no
10¢
97d left
$143K
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS98d left
58%
74yes53no
77¢
98d left
$140K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS96d left
51%
34yes33no
41¢
96d left
$139K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
24%
12yes39no
33¢
97d left
$128K
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
48%
59yes64no
12¢
5d left
$126K
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS270d left
32%
6yes13no
55¢
270d left
$117K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
45%
35yes43no
27¢
97d left
$114K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS35d left
37%
30yes52no
45¢
35d left
$101K
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
39%
21yes33no
14¢
36d left
$99K
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
57%
16yes12no
85¢
97d left
$95K
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS278d left
44%
7yes9no
23¢
278d left
$95K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS401d left
63%
5yes3no
66¢
401d left
$68K
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
27%
9yes24no
16¢
97d left
$63K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
GEOPOLITICS20d left
41%
15yes22no
50¢
20d left
$63K
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
50%
12yes12no
23¢
97d left
$63K
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS278d left
47%
7yes8no
26¢
278d left
$60K
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
36%
16yes28no
28¢
97d left
$56K
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS270d left
34%
10yes19no
21¢
270d left
$55K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS20d left
14%
3yes18no
13¢
20d left
$51K
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 29? — Polymarket market icon
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 29?
GEOPOLITICS3d left
0%
0yes3no
27¢
3d left
$50K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
31%
15yes34no
27¢
19d left
$45K
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
50%
0yes0no
28¢
4d left
$41K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS128d left
47%
22yes25no
30¢
128d left
$38K
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?
GEOPOLITICS2d left
20%
1yes4no
40¢
2d left
$38K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
38%
14yes23no
49¢
97d left
$36K
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
65%
30yes16no
67¢
36d left
$33K
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
44%
8yes10no
19¢
97d left
$33K
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
33%
1yes2no
16¢
36d left
$31K
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
50%
20yes20no
27¢
36d left
$29K
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS97d left
50%
5yes5no
37¢
97d left
$25K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS462d left
50%
14yes14no
72¢
462d left
$24K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
50%
16yes16no
23¢
4d left
$22K
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? — Polymarket market icon
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
48%
20yes22no
48¢
36d left
$21K
US x China tariff agreement by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
76%
25yes8no
87¢
5d left
$20K
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
80%
16yes4no
90¢
4d left
$20K
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
31%
18yes41no
85¢
5d left
$20K
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)
GEOPOLITICS36d left
39%
7yes11no
11¢
36d left
$16K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS66d left
25%
6yes18no
14¢
66d left
$15K
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
75%
3yes1no
77¢
4d left
$12K
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
0%
0yes1no
29¢
19d left
$12K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
GEOPOLITICS35d left
44%
12yes15no
51¢
35d left
$11K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS96d left
47%
7yes8no
69¢
96d left
$10K
Showing 100 of 447 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.