🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
🐋OrcaLayer
Wallet LookupMarketsAnalyticsLeaderboardCompare TradersISW MonitorWorld CupWhale AlertsWatchlistChannel FeedResearch
FeaturesDevelopersSettings
Sign In
The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest — top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

Browse markets by category

Geopolitics·Crypto·Sports·Politics·Economics·Tech / AI
Features·Developers·Compare alternatives·Compare Traders·FAQ·Methodology·Farmer Filter·Roadmap·Status·Русский·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service·Risk Disclosure·© 2026 OrcaLayer
WalletMarketsAnalyticsLeadersISW

Markets

Browse active Polymarket markets with smart money data

Hot in:?
Detailed page →
MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
46%
1101yes1267no
14¢
191d left
$38.5M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
50%
2753yes2782no
41¢
38d left
$7.3M
US strike on Cuba by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
2424yes2487no
48¢
191d left
$4.4M
Iran leadership change by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
383yes402no
16¢
191d left
$3.0M
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
48%
1155yes1262no
22¢
191d left
$2.9M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
54%
482yes417no
85¢
191d left
$2.8M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
53%
1314yes1162no
87¢
191d left
$2.6M
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
49%
1385yes1445no
12¢
7d left
$2.6M
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
47%
461yes530no
11¢
191d left
$2.5M
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
48%
2069yes2197no
30¢
191d left
$2.3M
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
50%
909yes910no
17¢
191d left
$2.2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? — Polymarket market icon
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
GEOPOLITICS22d left
50%
580yes582no
27¢
22d left
$2.0M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
1145yes1170no
35¢
191d left
$1.9M
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
GEOPOLITICS39d left
50%
218yes219no
51¢
39d left
$1.9M
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
51%
372yes359no
74¢
191d left
$1.9M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
1933yes2039no
47¢
191d left
$1.8M
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
50%
212yes214no
22¢
191d left
$1.8M
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
47%
572yes633no
14¢
191d left
$1.7M
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
59%
488yes340no
16¢
191d left
$1.7M
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
48%
379yes413no
54¢
191d left
$1.6M
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS556d left
53%
115yes102no
14¢
556d left
$1.1M
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
52%
176yes160no
34¢
191d left
$1.1M
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Polymarket market icon
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
50%
179yes178no
37¢
191d left
$1.1M
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
47%
562yes632no
13¢
38d left
$837K
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS99d left
47%
816yes924no
10¢
99d left
$777K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
47%
264yes298no
17¢
191d left
$704K
US strike on Mexico by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
45%
138yes167no
14¢
191d left
$679K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
44%
152yes190no
14¢
191d left
$613K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS109d left
50%
162yes164no
10¢
109d left
$555K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS130d left
48%
443yes475no
31¢
130d left
$542K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
48%
364yes387no
26¢
38d left
$425K
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
46%
110yes129no
28¢
7d left
$414K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
50%
152yes151no
11¢
191d left
$402K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
48%
336yes362no
31¢
38d left
$370K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
46%
320yes369no
15¢
38d left
$358K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
46%
105yes124no
14¢
191d left
$325K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
46%
59yes70no
11¢
191d left
$262K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS372d left
40%
34yes51no
13¢
372d left
$242K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
45%
73yes91no
25¢
191d left
$241K
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
54yes57no
18¢
191d left
$223K
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
42%
59yes83no
14¢
191d left
$219K
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
53%
145yes129no
81¢
191d left
$215K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
43%
62yes82no
47¢
191d left
$209K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
49%
67yes71no
19¢
8d left
$191K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
48yes50no
20¢
191d left
$191K
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS192d left
50%
102yes104no
10¢
192d left
$188K
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
51%
40yes39no
11¢
191d left
$184K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
45%
86yes104no
44¢
191d left
$175K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
49%
46yes48no
30¢
191d left
$174K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
47%
75yes84no
47¢
8d left
$172K
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
50%
67yes67no
12¢
191d left
$168K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
47%
106yes121no
27¢
7d left
$156K
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? — Polymarket market icon
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
49%
48yes50no
12¢
15d left
$146K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
36%
71yes129no
19¢
191d left
$135K
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS40d left
49%
72yes74no
17¢
40d left
$119K
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS40d left
47%
58yes65no
13¢
40d left
$113K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
45%
61yes76no
31¢
191d left
$104K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
GEOPOLITICS100d left
50%
65yes64no
86¢
100d left
$84K
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
45%
51yes62no
30¢
191d left
$66K
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
47%
8yes9no
18¢
38d left
$65K
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?  — Polymarket market icon
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
52%
28yes26no
10¢
191d left
$63K
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? — Polymarket market icon
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
50%
33yes33no
14¢
15d left
$57K
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
GEOPOLITICS38d left
58%
36yes26no
74¢
38d left
$56K
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? — Polymarket market icon
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
GEOPOLITICS15d left
43%
29yes38no
14¢
15d left
$55K
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
51%
22yes21no
30¢
191d left
$40K
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
51%
42yes41no
16¢
8d left
$40K
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
50%
21yes21no
17¢
7d left
$35K
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
47%
28yes32no
17¢
191d left
$35K
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
50%
28yes28no
11¢
7d left
$31K
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
39%
17yes27no
14¢
7d left
$28K
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
52%
36yes33no
28¢
7d left
$24K
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
48%
16yes17no
16¢
191d left
$21K
Will Trump and Putin not meet? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
58%
57yes42no
59¢
191d left
$20K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS70d left
50%
0yes0no
25¢
70d left
$19K
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
GEOPOLITICS23d left
57%
38yes29no
64¢
23d left
$19K
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
52%
24yes22no
30¢
8d left
$19K
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
41%
16yes23no
20¢
191d left
$16K
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
48%
22yes24no
62¢
7d left
$15K
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
55%
26yes21no
15¢
8d left
$15K
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
48%
28yes30no
17¢
191d left
$14K
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
41%
28yes40no
39¢
191d left
$14K
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
GEOPOLITICS8d left
55%
21yes17no
33¢
8d left
$13K
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
37%
7yes12no
49¢
7d left
$12K
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
GEOPOLITICS13d left
50%
23yes23no
11¢
13d left
$10K
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS100d left
48%
15yes16no
61¢
100d left
$9K
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
GEOPOLITICS13d left
48%
24yes26no
90¢
13d left
$9K
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? — Polymarket market icon
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?
GEOPOLITICS9d left
50%
8yes8no
11¢
9d left
$9K
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS99d left
64%
14yes8no
13¢
99d left
$8K
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
58%
25yes18no
14¢
7d left
$8K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS100d left
47%
7yes8no
39¢
100d left
$7K
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
53%
16yes14no
84¢
191d left
$7K
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? — Polymarket market icon
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
37%
7yes12no
16¢
191d left
$7K
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
53%
16yes14no
26¢
191d left
$7K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS57d left
50%
0yes0no
18¢
57d left
$6K
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS192d left
44%
8yes10no
84¢
192d left
$6K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS191d left
25%
1yes3no
11¢
191d left
$5K
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30? — Polymarket market icon
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?
GEOPOLITICS7d left
67%
4yes2no
14¢
7d left
$4K
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS192d left
46%
6yes7no
66¢
192d left
$4K
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS4d left
59%
13yes9no
72¢
4d left
$3K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
50%
0yes0no
14¢
52d left
$2K
Showing 100 of 291 matching markets