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The Clean Data Layer

Weekly whale digest: top movers, smart-money flow, new whales.

OrcaLayer is a Business Intelligence tool that leverages public blockchain data to provide insights into prediction market traders' performance. The information provided is not, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice. We are not a bookmaker and do not accept bets.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is read from the public Polygon blockchain.

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MarketSmart MoneyPriceVolume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
56%
229yes182no
38¢
52d left
$5.9M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
44%
104yes135no
13¢
52d left
$4.3M
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
25%
115yes347no
12¢
52d left
$3.7M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
37%
104yes176no
14¢
52d left
$3.3M
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
45%
231yes282no
47¢
52d left
$3.3M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
25%
59yes178no
17¢
21d left
$2.5M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
66%
114yes59no
67¢
51d left
$2.3M
US strike on Colombia by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
39%
95yes151no
17¢
52d left
$1.3M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
GEOPOLITICS20d left
60%
84yes55no
84¢
20d left
$1.2M
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
50%
60yes59no
21¢
52d left
$1.0M
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
38%
48yes77no
11¢
52d left
$831K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
32%
39yes82no
14¢
21d left
$796K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
55%
54yes45no
40¢
51d left
$747K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
42%
43yes60no
35¢
52d left
$689K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
16%
21yes114no
12¢
52d left
$595K
Will Trump and Putin not meet? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
41%
70yes100no
11¢
52d left
$592K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
35%
35yes66no
39¢
52d left
$561K
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
55%
41yes34no
23¢
232d left
$553K
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
33%
25yes51no
21¢
21d left
$517K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? — Polymarket market icon
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
GEOPOLITICS36d left
62%
39yes24no
74¢
36d left
$498K
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
42%
36yes50no
10¢
21d left
$497K
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
53%
98yes86no
89¢
52d left
$484K
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
27%
21yes58no
17¢
52d left
$471K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
53%
53yes47no
70¢
141d left
$435K
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
25%
13yes38no
27¢
52d left
$402K
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
45%
19yes23no
30¢
52d left
$393K
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
39%
26yes41no
13¢
52d left
$374K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
50%
27yes27no
36¢
141d left
$362K
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
44%
7yes9no
27¢
51d left
$343K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
62%
28yes17no
28¢
52d left
$334K
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS20d left
57%
31yes23no
79¢
20d left
$322K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
42%
28yes39no
13¢
21d left
$317K
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
37%
19yes32no
12¢
52d left
$312K
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
25%
23yes70no
12¢
21d left
$311K
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
40%
29yes43no
14¢
52d left
$288K
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
56%
65yes52no
89¢
52d left
$271K
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS59d left
39%
25yes39no
67¢
59d left
$260K
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
26%
12yes35no
11¢
52d left
$259K
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
47%
7yes8no
38¢
51d left
$258K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
47%
22yes25no
11¢
52d left
$250K
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
37%
21yes36no
34¢
52d left
$233K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS83d left
30%
22yes52no
25¢
83d left
$211K
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
14%
15yes90no
34¢
19d left
$204K
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
54%
58yes50no
90¢
51d left
$201K
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? — Polymarket market icon
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
GEOPOLITICS19d left
48%
67yes73no
66¢
19d left
$200K
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
60%
12yes8no
69¢
232d left
$189K
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
23%
12yes40no
17¢
52d left
$184K
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
13%
1yes7no
27¢
417d left
$177K
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
67%
40yes20no
18¢
52d left
$172K
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
43%
10yes13no
18¢
52d left
$168K
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
33%
13yes26no
12¢
52d left
$156K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
32%
12yes25no
22¢
141d left
$138K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
33%
3yes6no
34¢
417d left
$137K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
22%
7yes25no
30¢
141d left
$137K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS202d left
43%
16yes21no
53¢
202d left
$134K
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? — Polymarket market icon
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
GEOPOLITICS83d left
60%
9yes6no
21¢
83d left
$134K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?
GEOPOLITICS5d left
50%
109yes107no
45¢
5d left
$128K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?
GEOPOLITICS12d left
50%
27yes27no
60¢
12d left
$127K
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
20%
1yes4no
31¢
52d left
$126K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
29%
8yes20no
21¢
417d left
$124K
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
34%
23yes45no
59¢
52d left
$118K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS20d left
45%
14yes17no
65¢
20d left
$110K
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
42%
16yes22no
19¢
52d left
$101K
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
27%
14yes38no
20¢
52d left
$100K
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
37%
14yes24no
12¢
232d left
$99K
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
50%
19yes19no
53¢
52d left
$95K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
42%
16yes22no
42¢
417d left
$94K
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
43%
25yes33no
88¢
52d left
$91K
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
32%
13yes28no
28¢
52d left
$88K
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? — Polymarket market icon
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
32%
21yes45no
25¢
417d left
$87K
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
40%
12yes18no
12¢
21d left
$85K
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
10%
1yes9no
18¢
417d left
$84K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS171d left
50%
8yes8no
43¢
171d left
$83K
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
61%
33yes21no
30¢
52d left
$71K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
42%
13yes18no
80¢
51d left
$70K
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS111d left
28%
7yes18no
23¢
111d left
$67K
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
53%
8yes7no
16¢
232d left
$62K
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? — Polymarket market icon
US imports Russian diesel by March 31?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
64%
7yes4no
22¢
141d left
$61K
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
56%
15yes12no
38¢
232d left
$58K
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
47%
26yes29no
76¢
417d left
$52K
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? — Polymarket market icon
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
36%
8yes14no
24¢
232d left
$50K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
19%
4yes17no
14¢
232d left
$48K
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? — Polymarket market icon
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
67%
22yes11no
89¢
21d left
$47K
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
67%
10yes5no
80¢
232d left
$41K
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS111d left
50%
10yes10no
65¢
111d left
$38K
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? — Polymarket market icon
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
GEOPOLITICS51d left
14%
6yes36no
44¢
51d left
$34K
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? — Polymarket market icon
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
47%
9yes10no
80¢
232d left
$32K
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? — Polymarket market icon
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
20%
7yes28no
29¢
52d left
$31K
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS232d left
25%
4yes12no
26¢
232d left
$28K
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? — Polymarket market icon
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
GEOPOLITICS111d left
14%
3yes19no
39¢
111d left
$28K
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS141d left
55%
6yes5no
61¢
141d left
$23K
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS21d left
60%
21yes14no
88¢
21d left
$22K
Next Israeli government a minority government? — Polymarket market icon
Next Israeli government a minority government?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
67%
10yes5no
59¢
417d left
$21K
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS111d left
21%
3yes11no
33¢
111d left
$20K
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket market icon
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
28%
5yes13no
29¢
52d left
$20K
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? — Polymarket market icon
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
17%
2yes10no
63¢
417d left
$18K
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?
GEOPOLITICS104d left
10%
1yes9no
74¢
104d left
$12K
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31? — Polymarket market icon
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31?
GEOPOLITICS52d left
70%
7yes3no
87¢
52d left
$10K
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting? — Polymarket market icon
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?
GEOPOLITICS129d left
13%
1yes7no
62¢
129d left
$10K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2027? — Polymarket market icon
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2027?
GEOPOLITICS417d left
0%
0yes3no
38¢
417d left
$740
Showing 100 of 541 matching markets

Explore Polymarket markets by category

Every active Polymarket market, indexed from the Polygon chain and grouped by category: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each market shows live volume and prices, and links to the wallets trading it, so a market view is always one click from the farmer-filtered leaderboard of who is actually positioned in it.

Questions and answers

What Polymarket markets does OrcaLayer track?

All of them — every active market is indexed from the chain within seconds, grouped by category (politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics, tech) with live volume and prices per market.

How do I explore Polymarket markets by category?

Use the category tabs on the markets page: politics, sports, crypto, geopolitics, economics and tech. Each category lists its active markets with volume and current prices, sortable and filterable.

How fresh is the data?

Trades stream from the Polygon chain with seconds of lag; prices refresh continuously. Nightly jobs rebuild the heavier aggregates.