Geopolitics53 days left
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$19.9K
670 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 186 traders
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
17 MARKETS · $187.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.
7¢+41¢$58.9K10/11Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.+41¢7¢
$58.9K10/11
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company
5¢+15¢$12.3K2/8Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company+15¢5¢
$12.3K2/8
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←
7¢+7¢$19.9K2/12Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←+7¢7¢
$19.9K2/12
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI
9¢+44¢$14.1K10/9Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI+44¢9¢
$14.1K10/9
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.
7¢+26¢$5.9K2/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.+26¢7¢
$5.9K2/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation
7¢+37¢$18.6K4/5Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation+37¢7¢
$18.6K4/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation
3¢−3¢$4.5K0/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation−3¢3¢
$4.5K0/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance
3¢+64¢$6.8K4/2Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance+64¢3¢
$6.8K4/2
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
4¢+46¢$3.7K2/2Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.+46¢4¢
$3.7K2/2
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.
6¢+11¢$5.4K1/5Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.+11¢6¢
$5.4K1/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.
3¢+22¢$3.3K1/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.+22¢3¢
$3.3K1/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC
6¢+44¢$9.2K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC+44¢6¢
$9.2K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company
9¢+20¢$5.2K2/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company+20¢9¢
$5.2K2/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.
8¢−8¢$7.2K0/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.−8¢8¢
$7.2K0/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
4¢+52¢$10.5K5/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.+52¢4¢
$10.5K5/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-72.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$50(+4.4%)
Whales
12
M
MrNoItAll🥇
Entry 89¢·819.9 shares
Invested
$730
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $730 · WR 90.6%
D
deepsleep🥈
Entry 87¢·253 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $219 · WR 70.2%
A
ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO🥉
Entry 88¢·93.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $82 · WR 79.8%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 86¢·56 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $48 · WR 56.3%
T
trashtier
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 63.0%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 88¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 55.7%
A
aliizhedged
Entry 61¢·17.9 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 67.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 68.1%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 80.4%
I
Indigoat
Entry 91¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.3%
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