Geopolitics99 days left
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$15.8K
546 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 156 traders
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
20 MARKETS · $188.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.
19¢+38¢$45.1K8/6Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.+38¢19¢
$45.1K8/6
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company
9¢+22¢$10.4K4/9Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company+22¢9¢
$10.4K4/9
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←
17¢+8¢$15.8K3/9Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←+8¢17¢
$15.8K3/9
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI
11¢+49¢$11.0K12/8Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI+49¢11¢
$11.0K12/8
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.
7¢+43¢$4.3K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.+43¢7¢
$4.3K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation
14¢+26¢$16.0K4/6Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation+26¢14¢
$16.0K4/6
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.
98¢−35¢$9.1K10/6Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.−35¢98¢
$9.1K10/6
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation
14¢−14¢$2.6K0/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation−14¢14¢
$2.6K0/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance
3¢+77¢$6.4K4/1Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance+77¢3¢
$6.4K4/1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
10¢+40¢$3.3K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.+40¢10¢
$3.3K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.
16¢+34¢$2.9K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.+34¢16¢
$2.9K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.
11¢+39¢$2.1K1/1Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.+39¢11¢
$2.1K1/1
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.
97¢−33¢$5.3K7/4Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.−33¢97¢
$5.3K7/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC
8¢+52¢$6.7K3/2Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC+52¢8¢
$6.7K3/2
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.
99¢−39¢$26.8K9/6Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.−39¢99¢
$26.8K9/6
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company
10¢+23¢$3.2K1/2Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company+23¢10¢
$3.2K1/2
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.
4¢−4¢$6.4K0/2Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.−4¢4¢
$6.4K0/2
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
5¢+51¢$10.4K5/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.+51¢5¢
$10.4K5/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $533 is directional: YES $0·NO $533YES Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-40.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$558
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-2.5%)
Whales
9
D
deepsleep🥇
Entry 87¢·253 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $219 · WR 68.9%
M
Midas14🥈
Entry 83¢·146.9 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $121 · WR 74.6%
M
Musk5🥉
Entry 88¢·120 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $106 · WR 71.9%
A
ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO
Entry 88¢·93.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $82 · WR 79.3%
M
Majas
Entry 89¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 73.3%
A
aliizhedged
Entry 61¢·17.9 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 67.5%
I
Indigoat
Entry 91¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.1%
U
uZs0
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 83.0%
S
simonz77k
Entry 88¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.4%
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