Geopolitics90 days left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$321.8K
15,115 trades
Smart Whales
171
of 716 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

94 YESvs78 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 43 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+29 new YES$1.7K+29 new NO$2.1K
$1.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $18.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12.0K·NO $6.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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