Geopolitics10 days left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$368.7K
4,875 trades
Smart Whales
145
of 646 traders · 5 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs99 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 63 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+57 new YES$2.8K+64 new NO$13.7K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$66 of $29.4K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $2.9K·NO $26.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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