Geopolitics40 days left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

YES Price
67¢
67% implied
NO Price
33¢
33% implied
Volume
$349.3K
3,034 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 483 traders · 5 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

41 YESvs63 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 45 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+103 new YES$20.9K+116 new NO$22.7K
$9.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 52 buyers — left out of momentum
18 smart whales25 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$583 of $19.5K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $9.7K·NO $9.3K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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