Partial-Adrenalin · Polymarket wallet 0x7272…a67d

Wallet snapshot

Partial-Adrenalin has made 487 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $88K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (16%). On 65 resolved markets the win rate is 61.5%, lifetime P&L +$21K. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $1,710 · 64¢ → 86¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $935 · 79¢ → 94¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · $625 · 19¢ → 63¢
• Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?No · $500 · 69¢ → 100¢
• Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Yes · $375 · 62¢ → 75¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No · $314 · 10¢ → 40¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $295 · 30¢ → 30¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes · $250 · 31¢ → 25¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $210 · 16¢ → 11¢
• Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No · $147 · 37¢ → 40¢

Latest closed positions

• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No · +$198 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No · +$2,314 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?No · +$136 · Sep 28, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$660 · Sep 22, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes · +$264 · Sep 15, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$1,207 · Sep 9, 2026

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