GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$285.9K
2,545 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 391 traders

Smart Money Consensus

59 YESvs36 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.9K is directional: YES $9.1K·NO $2.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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