YES Price
69¢
69% implied
NO Price
31¢
31% implied
Volume
$5.9K
174 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 75 traders
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
5 MARKETS · $82.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs8 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$3.2K+14 new NO$917
$250 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $442YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+4.3%)
Whales
14
H
Huludubu🥇
Entry 67¢·600 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $402 · WR 65.2%
C
Car🥈
Entry 67¢·524.6 shares
Invested
$353
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $353 · WR 65.1%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 68¢·333.3 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $226 · WR 66.3%
E
Eia
Entry 69¢·100 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $69 · WR 62.2%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 68¢·50 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 61.4%
E
eCashhedged
Entry 43¢·75 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $32 · WR 66.9%
D
Discrete-Hostel-Pavement
Entry 68¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 69.4%
B
0xb4f655b9...
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 78.7%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 68¢·12.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 68¢·11 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 57.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$524
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$56(-10.8%)
Whales
8
M
Malganis🥇
Entry 32¢·1,116.5 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $357 · WR 76.1%
E
eCash🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·75 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $58 · WR 66.9%
S
spacexstar🥉
Entry 33¢·173.1 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $57 · WR 70.1%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 70¢·29.9 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $21 · WR 58.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 34¢·60 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $21 · WR 74.6%
-
-Math
Entry 32¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 75.3%
B
Bossy-Impressionhedged
Entry 76¢·3.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 91.5%
H
Hakei.
Entry 25¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 72.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 179ms